214  
FNUS71 KBUF 171513  
FWSBUF  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR AHOUSE WEST...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
1113 AM EDT THU APR 17 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON APRIL 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING A RETURN TO DRY WEATHER AND SUNSHINE TODAY.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP INTO THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE  
BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON, WITH LOCALLY LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
POSSIBLE IN OPEN EXPOSURES. NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH THIS  
AFTERNOON WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS, ESPECIALLY NEAR RIDGETOPS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.  
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 16 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).............1 1 0 0 1 1  
WEATHER COV.........  
WEATHER TYPE........  
TSTM COV............  
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP................45 48 51 54 55 55  
RH..................41 35 32 28 29 29  
20 FT WIND DIR......NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD......12 12 10 10 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.....13 14 14 13 12 11  
MIX HGT (KFT).......4.4 4.5 4.5 4.8 4.8 4.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.....16 16 16 15 14 13  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY  
CLOUDY (50 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.  
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH  
LATE IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE IN  
THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH  
LATE IN THE EVENING BECOMING SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).............1 1 1 4 8 11 17 24 31 38 45 52  
WEATHER COV.........  
WEATHER TYPE........  
TSTM COV............  
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP................53 49 46 43 39 38 37 36 36 36 35 37  
RH..................32 40 45 53 59 62 64 67 64 64 66 61  
20 FT WIND DIR......N N N NE E SE SE S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD......7 5 3 3 3 5 6 6 7 8 9 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.....8 6 5 5 5 6 7 8 10 10 11  
MIX HGT (KFT).......3.2 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW N N NE E SE S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.....10 8 6 5 5 6 7 9 12 13 13 14  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.  
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 29 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 33 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).............52 53 53 55 58 60 58 56 54 44 34 25  
WEATHER COV......... SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV............  
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20  
TEMP................39 41 44 47 50 53 56 59 61 63 65 65  
RH..................59 57 53 51 50 50 47 45 44 44 43 46  
20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD......12 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 18 18 18 18  
20 FT WIND GUST.....13 14 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 23 23  
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.4 3.0 3.4 3.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S S S S SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.....15 15 17 21 24 28 30 31 32 33 33 32  
 

 
 
FORECASTER...APFFEL  
REQUESTED BY...WESLEY CONFAIR  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2510739.2/BUF  
.DELDT 04/17/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ROBERT.A.GOULDING@USDA.GOV,WESLEY.CONFAIR@USDA.GOV,GABRIEL.TEMPLETON@USDA.GOV  
 
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