335
FNUS71 KBUF 180239
FWSBUF
SPOT FORECAST FOR AMAN RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1039 PM EDT THU APR 17 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
MUCH WARMER FRIDAY WITH HIGHS 65 TO 70. DRY WEATHER THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING, WITH A LOW CHANCE FOR A FEW AFTERNOON SHOWERS. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP TO AROUND 35 PERCENT BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY WITH
GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH. SLIGHT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE A BETTER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS ARRIVES SATURDAY.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
21 MPH.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 18 TO 24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
28 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 33 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....MAX 92 (GOOD).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............47 53 64 73 78 79 60 50 43
WEATHER COV......... SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW
TSTM COV............
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 10
TEMP................48 52 57 59 61 64 65 66 67
RH..................51 48 43 42 42 38 40 42 42
20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD......18 21 22 23 24 24 24 23 22
20 FT WIND GUST.....22 24 25 25 26 28 28 26 26
EYE LVL WND DIR.....S S S S S S S S S
EYE LVL WND SPD.....11 12 13 13 13 14 13 13 13
EYE LVL WND GST.....17 18 19 19 19 21 21 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.6 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.8 3.3 3.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....18 23 28 30 31 32 33 32 31
DISPERSION IDX......10 22 36 47 54 62 81 92 92
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
CLOUDY (70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 19 MPH.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 17 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
26 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 26 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....MIN 5 (POOR).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.02 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............43 46 47 49 51 52 53 54 55 64 74 84
WEATHER COV......... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV............
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 20 10 10 10 0 0 10 20 20 30 30
TEMP................67 65 60 62 62 62 60 61 61 59 61 61
RH..................42 46 60 58 58 60 64 62 65 69 65 65
20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD......22 21 21 21 20 20 18 17 17 17 18 18
20 FT WIND GUST.....26 25 23 24 24 24 23 23 22 22 23 23
EYE LVL WND DIR.....S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.....13 13 13 12 12 12 11 11 11 11 11 11
EYE LVL WND GST.....19 19 17 18 18 18 17 17 17 17 17 17
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.6 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....26 22 18 17 18 20 20 20 20 20 18 18
DISPERSION IDX......60 27 8 5 5 9 9 10 12 12 10 10
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY THROUGH THE
DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 10 TO 11 MPH BECOMING AROUND 9 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 29 MPH.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 29
MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH BECOMING WEST 22 TO 30
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....MAX 78 (GOOD).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.14 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............86 88 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 89 89 89
WEATHER COV.........CHC SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV............ SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).....30 20 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70
TEMP................61 62 63 64 66 67 68 68 69 68 67 66
RH..................67 70 70 70 68 68 68 68 68 68 70 70
20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD......18 17 17 17 17 17 17 16 16 16 15 15
20 FT WIND GUST.....23 22 21 21 21 21 21 20 20 19 19 18
EYE LVL WND DIR.....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W
EYE LVL WND SPD.....11 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 10 9 9
EYE LVL WND GST.....17 17 16 16 16 16 16 15 15 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.5 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.8 2.4 2.8 3.0 3.1 2.9 2.5 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....18 18 20 23 26 30 30 30 28 26 24 22
DISPERSION IDX......8 8 10 22 41 62 73 78 74 67 53 38
FORECASTER...TMA
REQUESTED BY...CASEY HOWARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2510970.0/BUF
.DELDT 04/17/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CASEY.HOWARD@USDA.GOV
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