697  
FNUS71 KBUF 181058  
FWSBUF  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR AMAN NORTH...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
658 AM EDT FRI APR 18 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON APRIL 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT OFF THE EAST COAST TODAY, WITH A WARM  
FRONT MOVING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA. CLOUDS WILL THICKEN, WITH  
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A FEW PASSING SHOWERS MID AFTERNOON THROUGH  
THIS EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL NOT BE AS LOW AS YESTERDAY  
AS MOISTURE GRADUALLY INCREASES WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE WARM  
FRONT. WINDS WILL BE STRONGER THAN YESTERDAY AND INCREASE FROM  
THE SOUTH THROUGH THE DAY. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION  
SATURDAY WITH A WETTING RAINFALL LIKELY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH  
INCREASING TO 35 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 17 TO 24 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH  
INCREASING TO 35 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 31 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
DISPERSION INDEX....MAX 76 (GOOD).  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).............42 46 52 62 69 77 76 74 75 74  
WEATHER COV.........  
WEATHER TYPE........  
TSTM COV............  
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP................42 48 52 57 59 61 64 65 66 67  
RH..................60 51 48 43 42 42 38 40 42 42  
20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD......17 18 21 22 23 24 24 24 23 22  
20 FT WIND GUST.....20 22 24 25 25 26 28 28 26 26  
EYE LVL WND DIR.....S S S S S S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.....11 11 12 13 13 13 14 13 13 13  
EYE LVL WND GST.....15 17 18 19 19 19 21 21 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.2 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.9 2.5 2.8 2.6 2.2 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.....14 17 21 24 28 30 31 30 28 25  
DISPERSION IDX......2 9 16 27 46 65 76 68 53 37  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
CLOUDY (50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY  
(65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
AFTER 3 AM. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 19 MPH.  
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
26 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 22 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....MIN 3 (POOR).  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.02 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).............63 68 67 54 51 51 50 48 57 58 71 77  
WEATHER COV......... SCH SCH CHC  
WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW  
TSTM COV............  
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 30  
TEMP................67 65 60 62 62 62 60 61 61 59 61 61  
RH..................42 46 60 58 58 60 64 62 65 69 65 65  
20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD......21 21 20 18 18 17 17 16 16 16 16 16  
20 FT WIND GUST.....26 25 24 24 23 22 21 20 20 20 20 20  
EYE LVL WND DIR.....S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.....13 13 12 11 11 11 11 10 10 10 10 10  
EYE LVL WND GST.....19 19 18 18 17 17 16 15 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.....22 20 17 17 18 20 18 17 16 16 16 17  
DISPERSION IDX......23 12 5 3 5 7 6 8 8 8 7 8  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75 PERCENT). SHOWERS THROUGH THE  
DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 10 TO 11 MPH BECOMING AROUND 9 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH.  
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 16 TO 17 MPH BECOMING WEST  
AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP  
TO 32 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH BECOMING WEST 28 TO 33  
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
DISPERSION INDEX....MAX 99 (GOOD).  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.15 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).............80 84 76 75 68 73 78 80 81 81 80 80  
WEATHER COV.........CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV............ SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).....50 60 80 80 80 80 80 80 90 90 90 80  
TEMP................61 62 63 64 66 67 68 69 70 69 67 66  
RH..................67 70 70 70 68 68 68 66 66 66 70 70  
20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD......16 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 16 16 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.....20 21 21 22 24 25 25 25 25 26 26 25  
EYE LVL WND DIR.....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W  
EYE LVL WND SPD.....10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 9  
EYE LVL WND GST.....15 16 16 17 18 19 19 19 19 19 19 19  
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.5 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.4 3.2 2.9 2.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.....18 20 21 23 26 29 31 33 33 32 30 28  
DISPERSION IDX......8 9 13 22 39 58 76 93 99 90 75 58  
 
 
 
FORECASTER...HITCHCOCK  
REQUESTED BY...WESLEY CONFAIR  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2510742.3/BUF  
.DELDT 04/18/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL WESLEY.CONFAIR@USDA.GOV,ROBERT.A.GOULDING@USDA.GOV,GABRIEL.TEMPLETON@USDA.GOV  
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