465  
FNUS51 KBUF 061404  
FWFBUF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
1003 AM EDT TUE MAY 6 2025  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ONE MORE DAY WITH AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORM POSSIBILITIES,  
OTHERWISE AREAS OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO PINWHEEL ABOUT A SLOW-  
MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY AS IT SLOWLY  
LUMBERS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION TODAY, BEFORE  
PUSHING EAST INTO NEW ENGLAND BY MID WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN  
SWING THROUGH OUR AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT BRINGING A COOLER SHOT OF AIR  
FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WORK WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE WILL TRY TO  
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST, WHILE A NEW AREA OF LOW PRESSURE FORMS  
TO OUR SOUTHEAST BRINGING SOME UNCERTAINTY TO HOW FAST WESTERN AND  
NORTH-CENTRAL NY WILL BEGIN TO DRY OUT.  
 
NYZ201-062000-  
LAKE ONTARIO PLAINS-  
1003 AM EDT TUE MAY 6 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 80 70  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 50 0  
MAX/MIN TEMP 71 48 63  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 52 100 58  
AM WIND (MPH) SE 7 SW 6  
PM WIND (MPH) S 6 LGT/VAR W 8  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.26 0.65 0.22  
PRECIP DURATION 6 11 9  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 6230 4490  
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) S 12 SW 9 W 16  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 74760 0 71840  
DISPERSION INDEX 75 0 72  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 
 
 
NYZ200-062000-  
SOUTHERN TIER-  
1003 AM EDT TUE MAY 6 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 60 40  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 50 0  
MAX/MIN TEMP 70 46 66  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 47 100 49  
AM WIND (MPH) S 6 W 5  
PM WIND (MPH) SW 6 LGT/VAR W 8  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.22 0.35 0.05  
PRECIP DURATION 8 5 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 8170 6010  
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) S 12 SW 8 W 18  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 98040 0 108180  
DISPERSION INDEX 98 0 108  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 
 
   
EXTENDED FORECAST  
 
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 40S.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.   
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
60S.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.  
 
WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND THURSDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND FRIDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND SATURDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND SUNDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND MONDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS  
 
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.  
 
 
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