655  
FNUS51 KBUF 281404  
FWFBUF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
1003 AM EDT WED MAY 28 2025  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LOW PRESSURE DRAPED FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TO THE CAROLINA COASTLINE  
WILL DRIFT NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS OUR REGION THROUGH TONIGHT...BEFORE  
SLIDING OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL PUSH A  
SWATH OF RAIN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THURSDAY  
MORNING. IN ITS WAKE...AT LEAST SOMEWHAT UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL  
PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH THE CHANCE OF SOME SHOWERS EACH  
DAY...ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES THAT WILL AVERAGE OUT A BIT BELOW  
NORMAL.  
 
NYZ201-282000-  
LAKE ONTARIO PLAINS-  
1003 AM EDT WED MAY 28 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 90 80  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
MAX/MIN TEMP 71 52 67  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 38 99 60  
AM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR S 6  
PM WIND (MPH) S 6 LGT/VAR SW 8 G20  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.32 0.12  
PRECIP DURATION 5 12 11  
PRECIP BEGIN 11 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 9350 5680  
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) S 12 S 11 SW 15  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 112200 0 85200  
DISPERSION INDEX 112 0 85  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 
 
 
NYZ200-282000-  
SOUTHERN TIER-  
1003 AM EDT WED MAY 28 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 90 40  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
MAX/MIN TEMP 62 51 69  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 54 100 53  
AM WIND (MPH) SE 7 S 6  
PM WIND (MPH) SE 9 SE 8 SW 8  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.15 0.27 0.04  
PRECIP DURATION 11 11 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 4900 7090  
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) SE 23 SE 17 W 16  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 112700 0 113440  
DISPERSION INDEX 113 0 113  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 
 
   
EXTENDED FORECAST  
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 50S.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.  
 
WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND FRIDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND SATURDAY...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
WIND SUNDAY...WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
WIND MONDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS  
 
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.  
 
 
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