523  
FZUS61 KBUF 210802  
GLFLO  
 
OPEN LAKE FORECAST FOR LAKE ONTARIO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
402 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2025  
 
FOR WATERS BEYOND FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE ON LAKE ONTARIO  
 
WAVES ARE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT - THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST  
1/3 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM. OCCASIONAL WAVE HEIGHT IS THE AVERAGE OF  
THE HIGHEST 1/10 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM.  
   
SYNOPSIS  
A WEAK SURFACE LOW OF 30.0 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN  
PENNSYLVANIA THIS MORNING WILL FADE TODAY AS HURRICANE ERIN CURVES  
NORTH/NORTHEASTWARD, WITH CENTER OF THE STORM REMAINING WELL OFF THE  
NORTH CAROLINA COASTLINE. A 30.1 INCH HIGH WILL THEN BUILD ACROSS  
THE GREAT LAKES REGION THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. A 29.5 INCH LOW WILL  
MOVE NEAR THE WESTERN SHORE OF JAMES BAY SATURDAY, AND LINGER JUST  
TO THE EAST OF JAMES BAY SUNDAY WHILE PUSHING A COLD FRONT ACROSS  
THE LAKE SUNDAY NIGHT. A SECONDARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CROSS  
LAKE ONTARIO MONDAY.  
 
LOZ062-211500-  
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-  
402 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2025  
   
TODAY  
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING EAST 10 TO  
15 KNOTS. WAVES 3 TO 6 FEET SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET.    
TONIGHT  
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS BECOMING NORTH. WAVES 1 TO  
3 FEET SUBSIDING TO 1 FOOT OR LESS.    
FRIDAY  
NORTH WINDS 10 KNOTS OR LESS BECOMING SOUTHWEST. WAVES  
1 FOOT OR LESS.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
SOUTH WINDS 10 KNOTS OR LESS BECOMING SOUTHWEST.  
WAVES 1 FOOT OR LESS.    
SATURDAY  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS. SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT. WAVES 2 FEET OR LESS.    
SUNDAY  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS BECOMING WEST. SHOWERS  
LIKELY DURING THE DAY, THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS SUNDAY NIGHT.  
WAVES 1 TO 2 FEET.    
MONDAY  
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WAVES  
1 TO 3 FEET BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET.  
 
WINDS AND WAVES HIGHER IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
 
 
 
LOZ063-211500-  
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-  
402 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2025  
   
TODAY  
EAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO  
15 KNOTS. WAVES 3 TO 5 FEET SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FEET.    
TONIGHT  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHEAST. WAVES  
2 FEET OR LESS.    
FRIDAY  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS BECOMING LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE. WAVES 1 FOOT OR LESS.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 KNOTS OR LESS BECOMING SOUTH.  
WAVES 1 FOOT OR LESS.    
SATURDAY  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHWEST. SHOWERS  
WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT. WAVES 2 FEET OR  
LESS.    
SUNDAY  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SHOWERS WITH A CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE DAY, THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY NIGHT. WAVES 1 TO 2 FEET.    
MONDAY  
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS.  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET.  
 
WINDS AND WAVES HIGHER IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
 
 
 
LOZ064-065-211500-  
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE  
RIVER-  
402 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2025  
   
TODAY  
EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING NORTH. WAVES 1 TO  
3 FEET.    
TONIGHT  
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 KNOTS OR LESS BECOMING NORTHEAST.  
WAVES 1 FOOT OR LESS.    
FRIDAY  
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 KNOTS BECOMING WEST. WAVES  
1 FOOT OR LESS.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
WEST WINDS 10 KNOTS OR LESS BECOMING SOUTH. WAVES  
1 FOOT OR LESS.    
SATURDAY  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS INCREASING TO 15 TO  
20 KNOTS. SHOWERS WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT.  
WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET.    
SUNDAY  
SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO  
15 KNOTS. SHOWERS WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. WAVES 1 TO  
3 FEET.    
MONDAY  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING WEST. A CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET.  
 
WINDS AND WAVES HIGHER IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
 
 
 
LOZ061-211500-  
MAFOR 2109/  
ONTARIO WEST 1/2 11120 12220 11210 11200 11100 12800. WAVES 3 TO  
6 FEET SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET TODAY. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET  
SUBSIDING TO 1 FOOT OR LESS TONIGHT.  
 
ONTARIO EAST 1/2 12220 11210 11100 11800 11700 11800 11100. WAVES  
2 TO 4 FEET SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FEET TODAY. WAVES 2 FEET OR LESS  
TONIGHT.  
 
 
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