575  
FNUS51 KBUF 211805  
FWFBUF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
204 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2025  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A NORTHEAST FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY, WITH OVERCAST  
SKIES SLOWLY BREAKING FOR AFTERNOON SUNSHINE TO THE NORTH. HIGH  
PRESSURE WILL BRING FAIR WEATHER TO START THE WEEKEND, WITH A COLD  
FRONT BRINGING THE RETURN OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY  
NIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY. MUCH COOLER AIR BUILDS ACROSS OUR REGION TO  
START THE NEW WORK WEEK WITH SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED  
LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS.  
 
NYZ201-212000-  
LAKE ONTARIO PLAINS-  
204 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
MAX/MIN TEMP 75 50 81  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 38 100 38  
AM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND (MPH) NE 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 6190 6750  
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) NE 8 N 6 NW 5  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 49520 0 33750  
DISPERSION INDEX 50 0 34  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ200-212000-  
SOUTHERN TIER-  
204 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
MAX/MIN TEMP 71 49 80  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 60 100 39  
AM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND (MPH) NE 6 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 4920 6640  
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) NE 8 NE 7 N 5  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 39360 0 33200  
DISPERSION INDEX 39 0 33  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED FORECAST
 
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  
 
WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND SATURDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND MONDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
WIND WEDNESDAY...WEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.  
 

 
 
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