540  
FZUS61 KBUF 220202  
GLFLO  
 
OPEN LAKE FORECAST FOR LAKE ONTARIO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
1002 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2025  
 
FOR WATERS BEYOND FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE ON LAKE ONTARIO  
 
WAVES ARE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT - THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST  
1/3 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM. OCCASIONAL WAVE HEIGHT IS THE AVERAGE OF  
THE HIGHEST 1/10 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM.  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
HURRICANE ERIN WILL CURVE NORTHEAST TONIGHT, WITH THE  
CENTER OF THE STORM REMAINING WELL OFF MID ATLANTIC COASTLINE. A  
30.1 INCH HIGH WILL THEN BUILD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH FRIDAY  
NIGHT. A 29.5 INCH LOW WILL MOVE TO NEAR JAMES BAY SATURDAY, AND  
LINGER JUST TO THE EAST OF JAMES BAY SUNDAY WHILE PUSHING A COLD  
FRONT ACROSS THE LAKE SUNDAY NIGHT. A SECONDARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY  
WILL CROSS THE LAKE MONDAY, WITH TROUGHING REMAINING ACROSS THE  
LAKE THROUGH MID WEEK.  
 
LOZ062-220900-  
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-  
1002 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2025  
   
OVERNIGHT
 
NORTH WINDS 10 KNOTS OR LESS. WAVES 2 FEET OR  
LESS.    
FRIDAY
 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 KNOTS. WAVES 1 FOOT OR  
LESS.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
SOUTH WINDS 10 KNOTS OR LESS. WAVES 1 FOOT OR  
LESS.    
SATURDAY
 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS. WAVES 2 FEET OR LESS.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SHOWERS LIKELY  
WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. WAVES 1 TO 2 FEET.    
SUNDAY
 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING WEST. SHOWERS  
LIKELY DURING THE DAY. WAVES 1 TO 2 FEET.    
MONDAY
 
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS.  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WAVES 2 TO 4 FEET BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET.    
TUESDAY
 
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO  
15 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WAVES 3 TO 5 FEET SUBSIDING TO  
2 TO 4 FEET.  
 
WINDS AND WAVES HIGHER IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
 

 
 
LOZ063-220900-  
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-  
1002 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2025  
   
OVERNIGHT
 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS BECOMING NORTH.  
WAVES 1 FOOT OR LESS.    
FRIDAY
 
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.  
WAVES 1 FOOT OR LESS.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 KNOTS OR LESS BECOMING SOUTH.  
WAVES 1 FOOT OR LESS.    
SATURDAY
 
SOUTH WINDS 10 KNOTS OR LESS BECOMING SOUTHEAST.  
WAVES 1 FOOT OR LESS.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHWEST.  
SHOWERS WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET.    
SUNDAY
 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS. SHOWERS DURING THE DAY,  
THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS SUNDAY NIGHT. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET.    
MONDAY
 
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS.  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET.    
TUESDAY
 
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHWEST. A CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS. WAVES 3 TO 5 FEET.  
 
WINDS AND WAVES HIGHER IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
 

 
 
LOZ064-065-220900-  
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE  
RIVER-  
1002 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2025  
   
OVERNIGHT
 
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHEAST.  
WAVES 1 FOOT OR LESS.    
FRIDAY
 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 KNOTS BECOMING WEST. WAVES  
1 FOOT OR LESS.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
WEST WINDS 10 KNOTS OR LESS BECOMING SOUTH. WAVES  
1 FOOT OR LESS.    
SATURDAY
 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS. WAVES 2 FEET OR LESS.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS INCREASING TO 15 TO  
20 KNOTS. SHOWERS WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. WAVES 1 TO  
3 FEET BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET.    
SUNDAY
 
SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO  
15 KNOTS. SHOWERS WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. WAVES 2 TO  
4 FEET SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FEET.    
MONDAY
 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING WEST 15 TO  
20 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET BUILDING TO 3 TO  
5 FEET.    
TUESDAY
 
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO  
15 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WAVES 3 TO 5 FEET.  
 
WINDS AND WAVES HIGHER IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
 

 
 
LOZ061-220900-  
MAFOR 2203/  
ONTARIO WEST 1/2 13800 11700 12600 12400. WAVES 1 FOOT OR LESS.  
 
ONTARIO EAST 1/2 11800 13100 11700 12600 11500. WAVES 1 FOOT OR  
LESS.  
 

 
 
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