766  
FNUS51 KBUF 220205  
FWFBUF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
1004 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2025  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY BREAK UP FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS  
AREAS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE, HIGH  
PRESSURE WILL BRING FAIR WEATHER FRIDAY INTO THE START THE WEEKEND,  
WITH A COLD FRONT BRINGING THE RETURN OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. MUCH COOLER AIR WILL ARRIVE TO START THE  
NEW WORK WEEK IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT WITH SCATTERED RAIN  
SHOWERS AND PERIODS OF LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS.  
 
NYZ201-220800-  
LAKE ONTARIO PLAINS-  
1004 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2025  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 50 81 54 85  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 100 38 100 39  
AM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 6  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 6750 6700  
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) N 6 NW 5 SW 4 SW 14  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 0 33750 0 93800  
DISPERSION INDEX 0 34 0 94  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ200-220800-  
SOUTHERN TIER-  
1004 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2025  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 49 80 54 83  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 100 39 100 38  
AM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR S 5  
PM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 7  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 6540 7000  
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) NE 7 N 4 NE 3 SW 14  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 0 26160 0 98000  
DISPERSION INDEX 0 26 0 98  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED FORECAST
 
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.   
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 70S.  
 
WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND MONDAY...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND WEDNESDAY...WEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND THURSDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.  
 

 
 
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