830  
FNUS51 KBUF 220605  
FWFBUF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
204 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2025  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY BREAK UP FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS  
AREAS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE, HIGH  
PRESSURE WILL BRING FAIR WEATHER FRIDAY INTO THE START THE WEEKEND,  
WITH A COLD FRONT BRINGING THE RETURN OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. MUCH COOLER AIR WILL ARRIVE TO START THE  
NEW WORK WEEK IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT WITH SCATTERED RAIN  
SHOWERS AND PERIODS OF LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS.  
 
NYZ201-220800-  
LAKE ONTARIO PLAINS-  
204 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2025  
 
OVERNIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 50 81 55 85  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 100 38 100 41  
AM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 7  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 7100 6750  
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) N 5 NW 5 SW 5 SW 15  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 0 35500 0 101250  
DISPERSION INDEX 0 36 0 101  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ200-220800-  
SOUTHERN TIER-  
204 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2025  
 
OVERNIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 49 80 55 84  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 100 39 100 41  
AM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR S 5  
PM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 7  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 6340 6920  
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) N 5 N 3 NE 3 SW 15  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 0 19020 0 103800  
DISPERSION INDEX 0 19 0 104  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED FORECAST
 
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 70S.  
 
WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.  
WIND MONDAY...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
WIND WEDNESDAY...WEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND THURSDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.  
 

 
 
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