302  
FNUS51 KBUF 220805  
FWFBUF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
404 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2025  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING FAIR WEATHER THROUGH SATURDAY,  
WITH A LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNING ABOVE NORMAL WARMTH, BRIEFLY,  
TO OUR REGION. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS OUR REGION SATURDAY  
NIGHT AND SUNDAY WITH SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MUCH  
COOLER AIR BEHIND THIS FRONT WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS, AND  
EMBEDDED LAKE EFFECT RAIN MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.  
 
NYZ201-222000-  
LAKE ONTARIO PLAINS-  
404 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
MAX/MIN TEMP 81 55 85  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 38 100 41  
AM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 7  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 7100 6750  
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) NW 5 SW 5 SW 15  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 35500 0 101250  
DISPERSION INDEX 36 0 101  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ200-222000-  
SOUTHERN TIER-  
404 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
MAX/MIN TEMP 80 55 84  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 39 100 41  
AM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR S 5  
PM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 7  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 6340 6920  
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) N 3 NE 3 SW 15  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 19020 0 103800  
DISPERSION INDEX 19 0 104  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED FORECAST
 
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 70S.  
 
WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.  
WIND MONDAY...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
WIND WEDNESDAY...WEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND THURSDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.  
 

 
 
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