243  
FNUS51 KBUF 221805  
FWFBUF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
204 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2025  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...THEN WILL SLIDE  
OFF TO OUR EAST TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A WARMING  
TREND THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND ALONG WITH FAIR DRY  
WEATHER THROUGH MOST OF SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN SLOWLY  
CROSS OUR REGION SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY WHILE BRINGING SHOWERS  
AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...WITH MUCH COOLER AIR FOLLOWING IN ITS  
WAKE BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED AREAS OF LAKE EFFECT  
RAIN MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.  
 
NYZ201-222000-  
LAKE ONTARIO PLAINS-  
204 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
MAX/MIN TEMP 81 55 85  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 37 100 40  
AM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR S 5  
PM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 7  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 7050 6720  
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) N 4 SW 4 SW 18  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 28200 0 120960  
DISPERSION INDEX 28 0 121  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 
 
 
NYZ200-222000-  
SOUTHERN TIER-  
204 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
MAX/MIN TEMP 80 55 83  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 38 100 43  
AM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR S 5  
PM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 8  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 6140 7030  
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) N 3 NE 3 SW 17  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 18420 0 119510  
DISPERSION INDEX 18 0 120  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 
 
   
EXTENDED FORECAST  
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 70S.  
 
WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND MONDAY...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
WIND WEDNESDAY...WEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND THURSDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS  
 
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.  
 
 
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