346  
FNUS51 KBUF 180605  
FWFBUF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
204 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2025  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN DRY WEATHER THROUGH MOST OF TODAY. A  
WEAK COLD FRONT WILL THEN DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA VERY LATE TODAY  
AND TONIGHT WHILE GENERATING SOME SPRINKLES AND WIDELY SCATTERED  
LIGHT SHOWERS. STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD  
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND  
AND BRING A RETURN TO DRY AND COOLER WEATHER. THE HIGH WILL THEN  
SLIDE OFF THE EAST COAST SUNDAY...WITH A SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW OF  
WARMER AIR ON ITS BACKSIDE OVERSPREADING OUR REGION THROUGH EARLY  
NEXT WEEK.  
 
NYZ201-180800-  
LAKE ONTARIO PLAINS-  
204 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2025  
 
OVERNIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 47 80 50 69  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 100 41 100 36  
AM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR N 6  
PM WIND (MPH) W 6 LGT/VAR N 6  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 5340 4590  
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) S 5 W 11 NW 7 N 9  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 0 58740 0 41310  
DISPERSION INDEX 0 59 0 41  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 
 
 
NYZ200-180800-  
SOUTHERN TIER-  
204 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2025  
 
OVERNIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 48 81 54 72  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 100 33 100 42  
AM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND (MPH) NW 5 LGT/VAR N 7  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 6450 4540  
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) SW 5 NW 11 W 7 N 9  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 0 70950 0 40860  
DISPERSION INDEX 0 71 0 41  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 
 
   
EXTENDED FORECAST  
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.    
SATURDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.  
 
WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND SATURDAY...NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND SUNDAY...EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
WIND MONDAY...EAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND WEDNESDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS  
 
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.  
 
 
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