800  
FNUS51 KBUF 182004  
FWFBUF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
404 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2025  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN DRY WEATHER THROUGH MOST OF TODAY. A  
WEAK COLD FRONT WILL THEN DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA VERY LATE  
THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE GENERATING SOME  
SPRINKLES AND WIDELY SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS. STRONG CANADIAN  
HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION  
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND AND BRING A RETURN TO DRY  
AND COOLER WEATHER. THE HIGH WILL THEN SLIDE OFF THE EAST COAST  
SUNDAY...WITH A SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW OF WARMER AIR ON ITS  
BACKSIDE OVERSPREADING OUR REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 
NYZ201-190800-  
LAKE ONTARIO PLAINS-  
404 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2025  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 49 69 37 70  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 100 39 100 27  
AM WIND (MPH) N 5 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR N 6 LGT/VAR NE 5  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 4480 4760  
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) NW 7 N 9 NE 7 NE 8  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 0 40320 0 38080  
DISPERSION INDEX 0 40 0 38  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ200-190800-  
SOUTHERN TIER-  
404 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2025  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 54 72 39 73  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 100 43 100 25  
AM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR N 6 LGT/VAR E 5  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 4430 5020  
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) NW 6 N 9 N 7 E 7  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 0 39870 0 35140  
DISPERSION INDEX 0 40 0 35  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED FORECAST
 
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID  
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.  
 
WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND SUNDAY...EAST AROUND 10 MPH.  
WIND MONDAY...EAST AROUND 10 MPH.  
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND WEDNESDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND THURSDAY...NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.  
 

 
 
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