207  
FNUS51 KBUF 211804  
FWFBUF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
104 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2025  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SHOWERS AND HILLTOP LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT BEHIND  
A RECENTLY DEPARTED COLD FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING ACROSS THE  
REGION TOMORROW WILL GRANT FAIR WEATHER, WITH VARIABLE CLOUDINESS  
AND AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES JUST A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. CLEAR  
SKIES TOMORROW EVENING, ESPECIALLY EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL ALLOW  
FOR TEMPERATURES TO COOL INTO THE UPPER 20S EAST OF LAKE ERIE, AND  
UPPER TEENS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO BEFORE CLOUDS THICKEN FROM THE  
WEST, TEMPERATURES MODERATE, AND LIGHT PRECIPITATION REACHES WESTERN  
NEW YORK SUNDAY MORNING.  
 
NYZ201-212100-  
LAKE ONTARIO PLAINS-  
104 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE FRZ RAIN NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 0 0  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
MAX/MIN TEMP 51 27 43  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 67 100 54  
AM WIND (MPH) SW 7 G21 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND (MPH) W 8 G21 LGT/VAR NW 6  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END 3 PM  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 3470 4340  
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) W 16 W 10 NW 13  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 55520 0 56420  
DISPERSION INDEX 56 0 56  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 
 
 
NYZ200-212100-  
SOUTHERN TIER-  
104 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 30 42  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 61 100 45  
AM WIND (MPH) SW 7 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND (MPH) W 8 G20 LGT/VAR NW 6  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 3700 5060  
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) W 17 W 9 NW 13  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 62900 0 65780  
DISPERSION INDEX 63 0 66  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 
 
   
EXTENDED FORECAST  
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID  
40S.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.    
TUESDAY  
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.  
 
WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.  
WIND MONDAY...WEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
WIND THURSDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS  
 
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.  
 
 
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