727  
FNUS51 KBUF 212105  
FWFBUF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
404 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2025  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SHOWERS AND HILLTOP LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT BEHIND  
A RECENTLY DEPARTED COLD FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING ACROSS THE  
REGION TOMORROW WILL GRANT FAIR WEATHER, WITH VARIABLE CLOUDINESS  
AND AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES JUST A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. CLEAR  
SKIES TOMORROW EVENING, ESPECIALLY EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL ALLOW  
FOR TEMPERATURES TO COOL INTO THE UPPER 20S EAST OF LAKE ERIE, AND  
UPPER TEENS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO BEFORE CLOUDS THICKEN FROM THE  
WEST, TEMPERATURES MODERATE, AND LIGHT PRECIPITATION REACHES WESTERN  
NEW YORK SUNDAY MORNING.  
 
NYZ201-220900-  
LAKE ONTARIO PLAINS-  
404 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2025  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SNOW/FZ RA  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 50  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 27 43 22 46  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 100 54 100 62  
AM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 5  
PM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR NW 6 LGT/VAR W 8 G20  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05  
PRECIP DURATION 8  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 4340 3900  
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) W 10 NW 13 SW 8 W 15  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 0 56420 0 58500  
DISPERSION INDEX 0 56 0 58  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ200-220900-  
SOUTHERN TIER-  
404 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2025  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 30 42 23 46  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 100 45 100 51  
AM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 7  
PM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR NW 6 LGT/VAR W 9  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 4670 4060  
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) W 9 NW 13 NW 6 W 20  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 0 60710 0 81200  
DISPERSION INDEX 0 61 0 81  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED FORECAST
 
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 30S.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.    
TUESDAY
 
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.  
 
WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND MONDAY...WEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
WIND THURSDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
WIND FRIDAY...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.  
 

 
 
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