508  
FZUS61 KBUF 211147  
GLFLO  
 
OPEN LAKE FORECAST FOR LAKE ONTARIO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
647 AM EST WED JAN 21 2026  
 
FOR WATERS BEYOND FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE ON LAKE ONTARIO  
 
WAVES ARE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT - THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST  
1/3 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM. OCCASIONAL WAVE HEIGHT IS THE AVERAGE OF  
THE HIGHEST 1/10 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM.  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
A 29.8 INCH LOW WILL MOVE FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES  
TODAY TO CENTRAL QUEBEC THROUGH THURSDAY, THEN TO THE CANADIAN  
MARITIMES FRIDAY. THIS LOW WILL PUSH AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT ACROSS THE  
LAKE THURSDAY MORNING, FOLLOWED BY A REINFORCING SECONDARY FRONT  
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. AT THE SAME TIME, A LARGE  
31.1 INCH HIGH WILL BUILD FROM NORTHWESTERN CANADA TO THE NORTHERN  
PLAINS STATES, WITH THE HIGH THEN WEAKENING TO 30.7 INCHES AS IT  
SLIDES EASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND NEW ENGLAND OVER THE  
WEEKEND.  
 
LOZ062-211600-  
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-  
647 AM EST WED JAN 21 2026  
 
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY  
EVENING...  
   
TODAY
 
SOUTH WINDS TO 30 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHWEST. SNOW SHOWERS  
FROM LATE MORNING ON. WAVES 4 TO 7 FEET BUILDING TO 8 TO 11 FEET.  
WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND 14 FEET.    
TONIGHT
 
SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS. SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH THE  
EARLY OVERNIGHT, THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE. WAVES 8 TO  
11 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND 14 FEET.    
THURSDAY
 
SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS BECOMING WEST AND  
INCREASING TO 40 KNOT GALES. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. WAVES 8 TO  
11 FEET BUILDING TO 10 TO 15 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND  
19 FEET.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
WEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF SNOW  
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY  
OVERNIGHT. WAVES 10 TO 14 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND  
18 FEET.    
FRIDAY
 
WEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHWEST AND  
DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY.  
WAVES 10 TO 14 FEET SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 7 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY  
AROUND 18 FEET.    
SATURDAY
 
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHEAST. A  
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. WAVES 2 TO 4 FEET SUBSIDING TO 1 TO  
3 FEET.    
SUNDAY
 
EAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING NORTH 10 TO  
15 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. WAVES 2 TO 4 FEET.  
 

 
 
LOZ063>065-211600-  
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE  
RIVER-  
647 AM EST WED JAN 21 2026  
 
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY  
EVENING...  
   
TODAY
 
SOUTH WINDS TO 30 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE  
THIS MORNING. SNOW SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. WAVES 5 TO 9 FEET  
BUILDING TO 7 TO 10 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND 13 FEET.    
TONIGHT
 
SOUTH WINDS TO 30 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHWEST. SNOW  
SHOWERS LIKELY. WAVES 7 TO 10 FEET BUILDING TO 9 TO 13 FEET.  
WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND 16 FEET.    
THURSDAY
 
SOUTHWEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS BECOMING WEST TO  
40 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING,  
THEN LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. WAVES  
10 TO 15 FEET BUILDING TO 13 TO 18 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY  
AROUND 23 FEET.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
WEST GALES TO 40 KNOTS DIMINISHING TO 35 KNOTS.  
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS. WAVES 14 TO 18 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY  
AROUND 23 FEET.    
FRIDAY
 
WEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHWEST AND  
DIMINISHING TO 30 KNOTS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS. WAVES 13 TO  
17 FEET SUBSIDING TO 7 TO 10 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND  
22 FEET.    
SATURDAY
 
NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHEAST  
10 TO 15 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. WAVES 3 TO 5 FEET  
SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FEET.    
SUNDAY
 
EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHEAST. A CHANCE  
OF SNOW SHOWERS. WAVES 2 TO 4 FEET SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FEET.  
 

 
 
LOZ061-211600-  
MAFOR 2113 AMD/  
ONTARIO WEST 1/2 11430 12447 11547 11540 11547 11540. WAVES 4 TO  
7 FEET BUILDING TO 8 TO 11 FEET, AND OCCASIONALLY AROUND 14 FEET  
TODAY. WAVES 8 TO 12 FEET, AND OCCASIONALLY AROUND 15 FEET  
TONIGHT.  
 
ONTARIO EAST 1/2 14440 13540. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS TODAY AND  
THIS EVENING. WAVES 5 TO 9 FEET BUILDING TO 7 TO 10 FEET, AND  
OCCASIONALLY AROUND 13 FEET TODAY. WAVES 7 TO 10 FEET BUILDING TO  
9 TO 13 FEET, AND OCCASIONALLY AROUND 16 FEET TONIGHT.  
 

 
 
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