717  
FNUS75 KBYZ 061014  
FWSBYZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ARROWHEAD LODGE/FOREST WIDE BURN PLAN...USDA-FS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT  
414 AM MDT TUE MAY 6 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MDT ON MAY 06.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SNOW WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THE DAY WITH AN INCH OR LESS  
OF ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION. NEARBY SNOTELS REPORT 4 TO 8  
INCHES OF SNOW HAVE FALLEN FROM YESTERDAY AND OVERNIGHT NEAR  
BURGESS JUNCTION. LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY.  
DRIER AND WARMER CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR WEDNESDAY WITH  
SOUTHERLY WINDS AND BETTER DISPERSION.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE  
OF SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................15 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-41.  
MIN HUMIDITY........68-75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 1300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4500 KNOT-FT EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO 9200 KNOT-FT IN THE AFTERNOON).  
 
TIME (MDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........93 93 92 90 89 89 89 90 90 91  
WEATHER COV.....DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10  
TEMP............25 27 29 31 34 36 36 36 37 37  
RH..............100 87 82 80 75 73 74 78 78 83  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11  
SDSP KT-FT/1000.5 9 8 8 9 8 8 8 8 7  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF RAIN AND SNOW EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-31.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89-93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7000 KNOT-FT EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO 2500 KNOT-FT LATE IN THE NIGHT).  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........91 83 66 58 55 48 45 42 35 31 38 51  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RS RS RS  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF LTNG (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............36 36 35 32 32 31 32 33 32 32 31 30  
RH..............82 84 90 91 91 91 91 89 88 88 89 91  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 10 10 8 8 8 10 10 11 12 12 12  
SDSP KT-FT/1000.5 4 3 3 4 4 4 5 6 6 7 7  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42-49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH,  
INCREASING TO 8 TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (61100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........58 37 29 25  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............32 42 52 55  
RH..............88 71 55 46  
20 FT WIND......S 8G13 SW 8G16 S 9G18 S 10G18  
SDSP KT-FT/1000.7 20 50 59  
 
 
FORECASTER...PALMQUIST  
REQUESTED BY...JOEL COOPER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2513127.0/BYZ  
.DELDT 05/06/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOEL.COOPER@USDA.GOV  
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