131  
FNUS75 KBYZ 142201  
FWSBYZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SMITH PILES...US FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT  
401 PM MDT TUE OCT 14 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0000 MDT ON OCTOBER 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING, PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO FALL  
MOSTLY AS RAIN. HOWEVER, AS SURFACE TEMPS APPROACH OR FALL BELOW  
FREEZING, THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE (10%) FOR FREEZING RAIN AND/OR A  
FEW SNOWFLAKES. THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY, ANY PRECIP WILL MOSTLY FALL  
AS RAIN, ALTHOUGH THE BEST CHANCE FOR SIGNIFICANT PRECIP (AND THE BEST  
CHANCE FOR SNOW) ARRIVES LATE WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUES INTO THURSDAY.  
AT THIS TIME, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN AT LEAST 0.10" LIQUID PRECIP  
WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO THURSDAY EVENING, WITH SOME OF THAT FALLING AS A  
FEW INCHES OF SNOW. ANY SNOW IS UNLIKELY TO REMAIN ON THE GROUND FOR  
LONG ONCE PRECIP SWITCHES BACK TO RAIN DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. BY  
THURSDAY EVENING, THE CHANCE FOR PRECIP QUICKLY DECREASES.  
 
DAYTIME HIGHS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S, WITH  
OVERNIGHT LOWS NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING. WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY  
LIGHT BEFORE PICKING UP THURSDAY AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 TO  
30 MPH AT TIMES INTO THE WEEKEND.  
   
OVERNIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS, BECOMING  
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM.  
CWR.................40 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-35.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91-95 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH AROUND 10 TO 20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 TO 15 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........71 81 81 73 81 85  
WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............33 34 34 34 34 34  
RH..............85 81 83 85 86 86  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 3 3 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 5 5 5 5  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE  
MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-46.  
MIN HUMIDITY........83-87 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH AROUND 10 TO 20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 1900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........89 96 87 77 73 67 63 66 71 74 74 74  
WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............34 33 33 33 36 39 40 41 44 44 43 43  
RH..............89 91 89 93 93 91 91 90 86 86 86 85  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SE S SW S SE S S NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING,  
THEN BECOMING SNOW OVERNIGHT. SNOW LIKELY AFTER  
3 AM.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-35.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89-93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST AROUND 5 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 TO 15 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY (%).........74 77 84 90  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RNSN  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............42 39 38 37  
RH..............87 89 88 89  
20 FT WIND......N 4G8 W 3G4 W 4G6 W 5G8  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING,  
THEN SNOW LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW  
LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-40.  
MIN HUMIDITY........69-73 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST AROUND 15 TO 25 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 2400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........93 94 92 77  
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSN RNSN SNOW RNSN  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............35 33 34 37  
RH..............91 91 94 83  
20 FT WIND......W 5G6 W 6G10 W 8G14 W 10G20  
 
 
FORECASTER...ARCHER  
REQUESTED BY...GREG OYLER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2523607.0/BYZ  
.DELDT 10/14/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GREGORY.OYLER@USDA.GOV  
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