763  
FNUS75 KBYZ 181529  
FWSBYZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SMITH CREEK PILES...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT  
829 AM MST THU DEC 18 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MST ON DECEMBER 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
TODAY WILL START OFF MOSTLY DRY AT THE SITE, BEFORE A WEATHER  
SYSTEM BRINGS AN INCREASED CHANCE OF SNOW THIS AFTERNOON. ALONG  
WITH THE SNOW, SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE LATE  
AFTERNOON. THE CHANCE FOR MORE THAN 2 INCHES OF SNOWFALL, TODAY  
THROUGH FRIDAY, IS AROUND 70 PERCENT. THE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL  
FURTHER INCREASE TONIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY MORNING, WITH GUSTS UP TO  
55 MPH. EXPECT THESE WINDS TO DECREASE THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY.  
MATOS  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SNOW EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON,  
THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....29-33.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 30 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST AROUND 25 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 35 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 2200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........49 42 54 62 69 86 88 86 89 93  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... SN SN SN SN  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............17 19 20 22 24 25 26 27 26 29  
RH..............60 55 51 49 47 53 60 69 75 77  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 13 14 15 15 17 18 18 19  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 21 22 25 25 29 30 30 31  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE EVENING,  
THEN SNOW LIKELY OVERNIGHT. AREAS OF BLOWING  
SNOW EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN PATCHY BLOWING  
SNOW OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT LATE IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....23-27.  
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS  
40 TO 50 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH, BECOMING 50 TO 60 MPH,  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 23 TO 31 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 35  
MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
 
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........95 92 92 92 88 85 84 72 84 88 87 93  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH PTY SCH SCH CHC LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SBS SBS SBS SN SBS BSN SN SN SN SN  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............27 28 28 28 29 27 30 31 33 35 35 35  
RH..............73 71 74 80 86 90 89 84 83 78 76 79  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..17 19 21 22 22 22 23 23 24 24 25 25  
20 FT WIND GUST.30 32 34 36 36 38 38 39 41 41 45 48  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY BLOWING SNOW INTO THE  
EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN AREAS OF BLOWING  
SNOW. SNOW LIKELY THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................80 PERCENT DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-38.  
MIN HUMIDITY........66-72 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH DECREASING TO  
10 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS 45 TO  
55 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST 50 TO 60 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 2700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 37 TO 40 MPH.  
 
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........87 86 91 91  
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............34 34 34 26  
RH..............78 72 86 90  
20 FT WIND......SW 27G50 W 29G54 W 24G45 W 20G40  
 

 
FORECASTER...MATOS  
REQUESTED BY...GREG OYLER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2526632.10/BYZ  
.DELDT 12/18/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GREGORY.OYLER@USDA.GOV  
 
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