397  
FNUS75 KBYZ 151151  
FWSBYZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 51 N BRIDGERS...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT  
551 AM MDT FRI MAY 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MDT ON MAY 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
OUTSIDE OF MAYBE A FEW LIGHT SPRINKLES THIS MORNING, DRY  
CONDITIONS AND SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED AT THE BURN  
SITE TODAY. AFTERNOON HUMIDITY WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE UPPER TEENS  
TO 20 PERCENT. LOOK FOR WINDS TO DECREASE THIS EVENING, SHIFTING  
TO THE NORTH OR LIGHT AND TERRAIN-DRIVEN OVERNIGHT, WITH MODERATE  
RH RECOVERIES.  
 
A STRONGER WEATHER SYSTEM IS STILL ON TRACK TO MOVE INTO THE  
REGION LATE SATURDAY. LOOK FOR SOUTHERLY WINDS IN THE MORNING TO  
SHIFT OUT OF THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS BY MID  
AFTERNOON, WITH SHOWERS INCREASING INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. PERIODS OF  
SHOWERS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTO MONDAY NIGHT. PRECIPITATION  
TOTALS COULD EXCEED 0.50 INCHES WITH A FEW INCHES OF SNOW AT THE  
BURN SITE BY MONDAY NIGHT.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. LIGHT SPRINKLES  
POSSIBLE THIS MORNING.  
CWR.................3 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS 6 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP  
TO 28 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST 20 TO 30 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 30 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........60 40 20 6 9 5 10 15 20 32 37  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............40 43 45 48 49 51 53 54 55 56 56  
RH..............44 38 35 33 30 27 26 24 22 19 20  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW WSW W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 13 13 15 14 13 13 12 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 22 24 26 28 28 28 28 27 26 25  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.1 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-41.  
MAX HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 25 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
A LIGHT NORTH OR DOWNSLOPE WIND OVERNIGHT.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH BECOMING NORTH AROUND 10  
MPH OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........26 30 36 44 48 58 71 64 56 83 86 94  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............57 55 53 49 46 45 44 43 42 41 41 41  
RH..............20 20 23 27 30 33 35 37 38 39 40 41  
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW N N N N N N N N NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..11 8 6 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.25 20 18 12 9 6 6 5 5 5 5 5  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN  
THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................26 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-54.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37-41 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY OR SOUTHWEST 2 TO 7 MPH,  
INCREASING BY LATE MORNING AND BECOMING  
WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH  
DURING THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST TO WEST 15 TO 30 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........95 85 75 85  
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 10 20  
TEMP............40 46 50 49  
RH..............43 38 39 51  
20 FT WIND......S 2G7 SW 5G17 W 8G20 W 8G18  
 

 
FORECASTER...PALMQUIST  
REQUESTED BY...JAMES RAY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2613551.0/BYZ  
.DELDT 05/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JAMES.M.RAY@USDA.GOV  
 
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