591
FXUS61 KCAR 040459
AFDCAR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1259 AM EDT SUN MAY 4 2025
SYNOPSIS
A COLD FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE DOWNEAST AREA INTO SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
UPDATE...
A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN ALONG THE
DOWNEAST COAST OVERNIGHT, WHILE A DISTURBANCE APPROACHES ALONG
THE FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NORTHWEST OF MAINE WILL
RIDGE TOWARD NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT.
GENERALLY EXPECT ISOLATED/SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS CENTRAL AND
DOWNEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT, WITH THE
NORTHERN EDGE OF SHOWERS GENERALLY ALONG A LINE FROM SOUTHEAST
AROOSTOOK TO NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS COUNTIES. WILL ALSO HAVE
AREAS OF FOG IN THE SAME REGION. GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AROOSTOOK COUNTY OVERNIGHT. LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S
NORTH, TO AROUND 50 INTERIOR DOWNEAST WITH MID TO UPPER 40S
ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST. HAVE UPDATED TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT
CONDITIONS ALONG WITH OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES, CLOUDS AND SHOWER
CHANCES.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
FOR SUNDAY, THE FRONT WILL STILL HANG AROUND THE SOUTH WITH
RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUING THROUGHOUT THE DAY. AGAIN, THE NORTH
WILL BE IN AND OUT OF CLOUD COVER WITH SUNSHINE BRINGING TEMPS
INTO THE 60S FOR THE DAY. THE SOUTH WILL BE IN THE MID 50S.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM QUEBEC SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONT MOVES
TO OUR SOUTH. MAINLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FAR
NORTH. THIS WILL ALLOW LOWS TO FALL TO NEAR 30 DEGREES ACROSS
THE CROWN OF MAINE. HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL KEEP LOWS IN THE LOW
TO MID 40S FOR THE BANGOR REGION AND DOWNEAST. THE SURFACE HIGH
SLIDES THROUGH THE CANADIAN MARITIMES ON MONDAY AS UPPER RIDGE
AXIS BUILDS ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE. THIS WILL KEEP DRY AIR IN
PLACE ACROSS THE REGION ON MONDAY WITH PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES EXPECTED. AFTERNOON HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB TO A BIT
ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS, GENERALLY IN THE LOW TO MID 60S, BUT A BIT
COOLER ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. UPPER LOW ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY CONTINUES TO SLOWLY SPIN TO TO OUR WEST DURING MONDAY
NIGHT, AS SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING REMAINS ACROSS THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC. EXPECT INCREASING CLOUDS ACROSS THE REGION. IT
SHOULD REMAIN DRY ACROSS THE NORTH BUT THERE WILL BE A CHANCE
FOR LATE SHOWERS FOR THE BANGOR REGION AND DOWNEAST ALONG WITH
PATCHY FOG. THE UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY EAST ON
TUESDAY WITH DEEP LAYER SOUTHERLY FLOW IN PLACE. EXPECT MAINLY
CLOUDY SKIES ON TUESDAY WITH AN INCREASING CHANCE OF AFTERNOON
SHOWERS. AFTERNOON HIGHS ON TUESDAY WILL BE WARMEST ACROSS THE
CROWN OF MAINE, WHERE HIGHS WILL REACH THE MID TO UPPER 60S. BUT
SOUTHERLY FLOW AND CLOUDY SKIES WILL KEEP AFTERNOON HIGHS
ACROSS THE BANGOR REGION AND DOWNEAST ONLY IN THE LOW TO MID
50S.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
UNSETTLED WEATHER WITH THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER TROUGH CROSSES THE REGION. IT
APPEARS AS IF UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY, AS YET ANOTHER UPPER LOW CROSSES THE REGION WITH THE
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL WEDNESDAY,
THEN BELOW NORMAL THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY, THEN NEAR NORMAL BY
SATURDAY.
AVIATION /05Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
NEAR TERM: FVE/CAR/PQI/HUL...GENERALLY VFR OVERNIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY. HOWEVER, OCCASIONAL MVFR POSSIBLE TOWARD HUL WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AREAS OF FOG OVERNIGHT. A CHANCE OF RAIN
SUNDAY. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.
BGR/BHB/DOWNEAST TERMINALS...MVFR/IFR, OCCASIONAL LIFR,
OVERNIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG WITH AREAS OF
FOG OVERNIGHT. RAIN SUNDAY. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY.
SHORT TERM:
SUN NIGHT AND MON...VFR. LIGHT NE WIND.
MON NIGHT...VFR, BECOMING MVFR/IFR KBGR/KBHB LATE. LIGHT SE WIND.
TUE...MVFR. LIGHT SE WIND.
TUE NIGHT AND WED...MVFR/IFR. S WIND.
THU...MVFR.
MARINE
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS
OVERNIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. RAIN
LIKELY SUNDAY. AREAS OF FOG OVERNIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.
SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS THROUGH
THE PERIOD. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED AT TIMES TO 1 TO 3 NM IN
SHOWERS AND PATCHY FOG MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH MID WEEK.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/LAFLASH
SHORT TERM...TWD
LONG TERM...TWD
AVIATION...NORCROSS/TWD
MARINE...NORCROSS/TWD
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