968
FXUS61 KCAR 260901
AFDCAR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
501 AM EDT MON MAY 26 2025
SYNOPSIS
SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EXITS INTO THE MARITIMES TODAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATER TODAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY, THEN BEGIN TO EXIT EARLY THURSDAY. A STORM SYSTEM
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND SLOWLY TRACKS OVER THE AREA LATE
WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
ON THIS MEMORIAL DAY, A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SLOWLY MOVES OUT
INTO THE ATLANTIC, GIVING MAINE SOME WRAP AROUND MOISTURE IN ITS
WAKE. FEW BRIEF SHOWERS IN WASHINGTON COUNTY BEFORE DAYBREAK.
CLOUDS ARE LINGERING IN THE AREA FROM THIS MOISTURE AS WELL,
CAUSING SOME PARTIALLY CLOUDY TO OVERCAST SKIES THIS MORNING.
EXPECTING SOME DRIER AIR TO MOVE IN LATER ON THOUGH, CLEARING
SKIES OUT FOR THIS EVENING. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER-60S
THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND EASTERN MAINE.
BEACH HAZARD STATEMENT OUT FOR COASTAL AREAS TODAY, DUE TO WARM
AIR TEMPERATURES AND COLD WATER TEMPERATURES, AS WATERS AROUND
IN THE MID-40S. EXPOSURE TO THESE COLD TEMPERATURES FOR EVEN
SHORT PERIODS OF TIME COULD BE DANGEROUS, SO PLEASE WEAR A LIFE
JACKET AND EXERCISE CAUTION TODAY ON THE WATERS. THERE IS ALSO
A CONCERN FOR POTENTIAL COASTAL FLOODING AS HIDE TIDE OCCURS
THIS EVENING. GIVEN LOW SEAS AND WINDS, CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH
AT THIS TIME THAT FLOODING OR OVERWASH WILL HAPPEN, BUT MONITOR
THE FORECAST FOR UPDATES AS CONDITIONS ARE MONITORED TODAY.
TONIGHT, HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE WEST BUILDS IN, BRINGING SOME
DRIER AIR OVER MAINE. SKIES CLEAR OUT, AND WINDS STAY RELATIVELY
LIGHT. DID NOT INCLUDE FOG DURING THIS TIME FRAME DUE TO RHS
STAYING RELATIVELY LOW. OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE FORECAST TO GO DOWN
TO THE MID-40S.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT ABOVE
NORMAL LEVELS TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXIT ACROSS THE MARITIMES EARLY THURSDAY,
WITH A COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT STARTING TO APPROACH LATE. CLOUDS
WILL INCREASE THURSDAY, WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.
UNSETTLED CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THE WEEKEND WITH A SERIES OF LOWS AND FRONTS CROSSING THE
REGION. HOWEVER, THE TIMING AND TRACKS OF THESE SYSTEMS REMAIN
UNCERTAIN. SHOWERS, OR A STEADIER RAIN, ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TIMING AND
TRACK OF THESE SYSTEMS. NEAR NORMAL, TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL,
LEVEL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY. NEAR NORMAL LEVEL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
AVIATION /09Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
NEAR TERM:
KFVE/KCAR/KPQI/KHUL: VFR CONDITIONS THIS MORNING. KHUL AND KPQI
HAD SOME FOG DEVELOP, BUT INCOMING CLOUD DECK HAS HELPED TO
DISSIPATE IT, RAISING VISIBILITY BACK UP. LOW CONFIDENCE IN IF
BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS WILL OCCUR AGAIN, HELPING FOR FOG
REDEVELOPMENT, SO PUT SOME TEMPOS IN THE TAFS IN CASE IT REDUCES
AGAIN. WINDS FROM THE NW AT 5-10KTS, BECOMING W BY LATE THIS
EVENING. GUSTS UP TO 15 KT POSSIBLE.
KBGR/KBHB: VFR CONDITIONS TODAY. WINDS FROM THE N/NW AT
5-10KTS, BECOMING W BY LATE THIS EVENING. GUSTS UP TO 15 KT
POSSIBLE.
SHORT TERM:
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...VFR. WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS 5
TO 10 KNOTS TUESDAY. VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS TUESDAY NIGHT.
WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.
THURSDAY...VFR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE WESTERN AREAS.
WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS.
THURSDAY NIGHT...VFR/MVFR EARLY, THEN MVFR/IFR. INCREASING
SHOWER CHANCES. WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS.
FRIDAY...MVFR/IFR, OCCASIONAL LIFR. RAIN LIKELY. SOUTHWEST/SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 20 KNOTS.
MARINE
NEAR TERM: WINDS AND SEAS AT BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA
CONDITIONS TODAY INTO TONIGHT. BEACH HAZARD STATEMENT OUT
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO COLD WATER TEMPERATURES. HIGH
TIDE LATER THIS EVENING HAS A POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SOME MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING ON ROADS, BUT WITH SEAS LOW AND LIGHT WINDS,
NOT TOO CONFIDENT IN THIS AT THE TIME. WILL MONITOR THE
CONDITIONS TODAY. SEAS AT OR BELOW 2 FT. WINDS FROM THE NW AT
5-10KTS, BECOMING SW DURING THE AFTERNOON, AND BACK TO NW BY
TOMORROW MORNING.
SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR MEZ029-030.
MARINE...NONE.
NEAR TERM...BRENNAN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BRENNAN/NORCROSS
MARINE...BRENNAN/NORCROSS
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