935
FXUS61 KCAR 261056
AFDCAR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
656 AM EDT MON MAY 26 2025
SYNOPSIS
SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EXITS INTO THE MARITIMES TODAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATER TODAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY, THEN BEGIN TO EXIT EARLY THURSDAY. A STORM SYSTEM
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND SLOWLY TRACKS OVER THE AREA LATE
WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
7:00AM UPDATE...SOME MID/UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS ARE MOVING THROUGH
THE REGION, PRIMARILY THROUGH NORTHERN AND EASTERN MAINE BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. FOG DEVELOPED OVER RIVER VALLEY AREAS,
BUT SHOULD BURN OFF AS SUN RISES. VERY BRIEF RAIN SHOWERS ON THE
FAR EASTERN COASTAL AREA BASED ON RADAR IMAGERY. TEMPERATURES
DROPPED INTO THE LOW-30S WHERE CLEARING OCCURRED OVERNIGHT IN
NORTHWESTERN MAINE, SO ADJUSTED TEMPERATURES TO MATCH
OBSERVATIONS AND BETTER RESEMBLE THE FORECAST WARMING TREND.
PREVIOUS FORECAST ON TRACK. PLEASE SEE THE UPDATED AVIATION
SECTION.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
ON THIS MEMORIAL DAY, A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM SLOWLY MOVES OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC, GIVING MAINE SOME
WRAP AROUND MOISTURE IN ITS WAKE. FEW BRIEF SHOWERS IN
WASHINGTON COUNTY BEFORE DAYBREAK. CLOUDS ARE LINGERING IN THE
AREA FROM THIS MOISTURE AS WELL, CAUSING SOME PARTIALLY CLOUDY
TO OVERCAST SKIES THIS MORNING. EXPECTING SOME DRIER AIR TO MOVE
IN LATER ON THOUGH, CLEARING SKIES OUT FOR THIS EVENING. HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER-60S THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND EASTERN
MAINE.
BEACH HAZARD STATEMENT OUT FOR COASTAL AREAS TODAY, DUE TO WARM
AIR TEMPERATURES AND COLD WATER TEMPERATURES, AS WATERS AROUND
IN THE MID-40S. EXPOSURE TO THESE COLD TEMPERATURES FOR EVEN
SHORT PERIODS OF TIME COULD BE DANGEROUS, SO PLEASE WEAR A LIFE
JACKET AND EXERCISE CAUTION TODAY ON THE WATERS. THERE IS ALSO
A CONCERN FOR POTENTIAL COASTAL FLOODING AS HIDE TIDE OCCURS
THIS EVENING. GIVEN LOW SEAS AND WINDS, CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH
AT THIS TIME THAT FLOODING OR OVERWASH WILL HAPPEN, BUT MONITOR
THE FORECAST FOR UPDATES AS CONDITIONS ARE MONITORED TODAY.
TONIGHT, HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE WEST BUILDS IN, BRINGING SOME
DRIER AIR OVER MAINE. SKIES CLEAR OUT, AND WINDS STAY RELATIVELY
LIGHT. DID NOT INCLUDE FOG DURING THIS TIME FRAME DUE TO RHS
STAYING RELATIVELY LOW. OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE FORECAST TO GO DOWN
TO THE MID-40S.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT ABOVE
NORMAL LEVELS TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXIT ACROSS THE MARITIMES EARLY THURSDAY,
WITH A COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT STARTING TO APPROACH LATE. CLOUDS
WILL INCREASE THURSDAY, WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.
UNSETTLED CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THE WEEKEND WITH A SERIES OF LOWS AND FRONTS CROSSING THE
REGION. HOWEVER, THE TIMING AND TRACKS OF THESE SYSTEMS REMAIN
UNCERTAIN. SHOWERS, OR A STEADIER RAIN, ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TIMING AND
TRACK OF THESE SYSTEMS. NEAR NORMAL, TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL,
LEVEL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY. NEAR NORMAL LEVEL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
NEAR TERM:
KFVE/KCAR/KPQI/KHUL: VFR CONDITIONS THIS MORNING. SOME MID-LEVEL
CLOUDS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA THIS MORNING, BEFORE CLEARING OUT
LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. WINDS FROM THE NW AT 5-10KTS,
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY LATE THIS EVENING. GUSTS UP TO
15 KT POSSIBLE TODAY.
KBGR/KBHB: VFR CONDITIONS TODAY. SOME MID-LEVEL
CLOUDS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA THIS MORNING, BEFORE CLEARING OUT
LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. WINDS FROM THE N/NW AT
5-10KTS, BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY LATE THIS EVENING.
GUSTS UP TO 15 KT POSSIBLE TODAY.
SHORT TERM:
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...VFR. WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS 5
TO 10 KNOTS TUESDAY. VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS TUESDAY NIGHT.
WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.
THURSDAY...VFR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE WESTERN AREAS.
WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS.
THURSDAY NIGHT...VFR/MVFR EARLY, THEN MVFR/IFR. INCREASING
SHOWER CHANCES. WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS.
FRIDAY...MVFR/IFR, OCCASIONAL LIFR. RAIN LIKELY. SOUTHWEST/SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 20 KNOTS.
MARINE
NEAR TERM: WINDS AND SEAS AT BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA
CONDITIONS TODAY INTO TONIGHT. BEACH HAZARD STATEMENT OUT
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO COLD WATER TEMPERATURES. HIGH
TIDE LATER THIS EVENING HAS A POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SOME MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING ON ROADS, BUT WITH SEAS LOW AND LIGHT WINDS,
NOT TOO CONFIDENT IN THIS AT THE TIME. WILL MONITOR THE
CONDITIONS TODAY. SEAS AT OR BELOW 2 FT. WINDS FROM THE NW AT
5-10KTS, BECOMING SW DURING THE AFTERNOON, AND BACK TO NW BY
TOMORROW MORNING.
SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
MEZ029-030.
MARINE...NONE.
NEAR TERM...BRENNAN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BRENNAN/NORCROSS
MARINE...BRENNAN/NORCROSS
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