929
FXUS61 KCAR 101835
AFDCAR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
235 PM EDT FRI OCT 10 2025
SYNOPSIS
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SLIDE SOUTH OF THE STATE THIS
EVENING. ANOTHER HIGH BUILDS NORTH OF THE REGION SATURDAY
INTO TUESDAY KEEPING A MID ATLANTIC LOW WELL SOUTH OF THE
REGION.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED OVER NEW ENGLAND SHIFTS SOUTH
INTO THE WATERS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES, WITH A FEW UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS MOVING THROUGH THE STATE. WESTERLY/SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
SOME A FEW GUSTS UP TO 20MPH. DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE MID-TO-
UPPER 50S. PLENTY OF DRY LOW-LEVEL AIR. CLEAR SKIES AGAIN
OVERNIGHT, BUT WITHOUT WEAKENING WINDS, NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN
TERMS OF FOG. COULD BE SOME PATCHY FOG IN RIVER VALLEYS.
OTHERWISE, OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOWER-30S IN THE NORTH AND
UPPER-30S TO LOW-40S DOWNEAST. FROST ADVISORY OUT FOR THE BANGOR
REGION TONIGHT, WITH LOW TEMPERATURES AROUND 33-36 DEGREES.
TONIGHT IS THE LAST EVENING FOR THE FREEZE/FROST SEASON IN THE
BANGOR REGION, AS IT IS NOW CLIMATOLOGICALLY EXPECTED TO FORM.
TOMORROW, HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND SLIDES INTO THE
ATLANTIC, AS ANOTHER HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM CANADA BEGINS TO
MOVE SOUTH TOWARDS MAINE. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL BE A LITTLE
WARMER, IN THE LOW-60S IN THE NORTH, AND UPPER-60S DOWNEAST.
OVERNIGHT, AROUND FREEZING IN THE NORTH WITH POTENTIAL FOR
FAVORABLE RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS. MID-40S DOWNEAST AND
ALONG THE COAST. LIGHT WINDS, CLEAR SKIES, AND HIGH HUMIDITY MAY
RESULT IN SOME PATCHY RIVER VALLEY FOG.
SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED NORTH OF THE REGION SUNDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT BLOCKING MID-ATLANTIC LOW PRESSURE. EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES NORTH, PARTLY SUNNY DOWNEAST, SUNDAY. GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES NORTH, MOSTLY CLOUDY DOWNEAST, SUNDAY NIGHT. THE
NORTHERN EDGE OF THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC LOW
WILL CREEP NORTHWARD ACROSS THE GULF OF MAINE SUNDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER,
UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS REGARDING THE NORTHERN EXTENT OF THE
PRECIPITATION SHIELD. WILL ALSO INCLUDE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT DOWNEAST. HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS NORTH OF THE
REGION MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT, STILL BLOCKING THE MID-ATLANTIC
LOW. UNCERTAINTY STILL PERSISTS REGARDING THE NORTHERN EXTENT
OF THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT
PARTLY SUNNY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES NORTH MONDAY. ACROSS DOWNEAST
AREAS MONDAY, EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE/LOW CHANCE OF RAIN. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
NORTH MONDAY NIGHT WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. ACROSS
DOWNEAST AREAS, EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDS SKIES WITH A CHANCE OF
RAIN. HOWEVER, STRONGER HIGH PRESSURE COULD LIMIT THE NORTHERN
EDGE OF THE RAIN SHIELD TOWARD THE DOWNEAST COAST, KEEPING MUCH
OF THE FORECAST AREA DRY MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. HIGH SURF
AND RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST MONDAY
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY, WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES MONDAY.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS RIDGED ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY, STILL
BLOCKING THE MID-ATLANTIC SYSTEM. A COLD FRONT SHOULD ALSO BEGIN
TO APPROACH TUESDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC
SYSTEM COULD BE DRAWN NORTHWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA IN
ADVANCE OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT TUESDAY. UNCERTAINTY
PERSISTS REGARDING SHOWER CHANCES TUESDAY. DUE TO THE
UNCERTAINTY, WILL ONLY KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE/LOW CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TUESDAY ALONG WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES. HIGH SURF AND
RIP CURRENTS ARE STILL LIKELY ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST TUESDAY.
THE REMNANTS OF THE COLD FRONT REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY, WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROF APPROACHING LATE. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE/LOW CHANCE OF
SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY. UNCERTAINTY WITH THE
STRENGTH OF THE UPPER TROF, ALONG WITH THE STRENGTH/LOCATION OF
AN OFFSHORE LOW, EXISTS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. GENERALLY EXPECT
PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY, THOUGH SHOWER COVERAGE IS STILL UNCERTAIN.
EXPECT NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY, WITH
SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES THURSDAY/FRIDAY.
AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
NEAR TERM:
KFVE/KCAR/KPQI/KHUL: VFR THIS AFTERNOON, WITH SOME HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN TERMINALS. WINDS FROM THE W/SW,
AT AROUND 10 KTS, WITH GUSTS TO 20 KTS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.
WINDS BEGIN TO RELAX TONIGHT, SHIFTING MORE SSW. SLIGHT CHANCE
FOR SOME LLWS TONIGHT IN NORTHERN TERMINALS. SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
RIVER VALLEY FOG TONIGHT. WINDS SHIFT BACK TO THE W/SW TOMORROW.
KBGR/KBHB: VFR THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS FROM THE W/SW, AT AROUND 10
KTS, WITH GUSTS TO 20 KTS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS BEGIN
TO RELAX TONIGHT, SHIFTING MORE SSW. SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RIVER
VALLEY FOG TONIGHT. WINDS SHIFT BACK TO THE W/SW TOMORROW.
SHORT TERM:
SUNDAY...VARIABLE CONDITIONS WITH ANY PATCHY FOG EARLY.
OTHERWISE, VFR. EAST/NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS.
SUNDAY NIGHT...VFR. A SLIGHT CHANCE/LOW CHANCE OF RAIN LATE
DOWNEAST. EAST/NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS.
MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...VFR NORTH WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
LATE MONDAY NIGHT. VFR/MVFR DOWNEAST WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE/CHANCE OF
RAIN. EAST/NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE/LOW CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. NORTHEAST/NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS TUESDAY.
NORTH/NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.
MARINE
NEAR TERM: SEAS AND WINDS BELOW SCA CRITERIA TODAY AND TOMORROW.
FEW GUSTS UP TO 20-25 KTS POSSIBLE OVER THE OUTER WATERS,
LATE TONIGHT. SEAS AT OR BELOW 4FT OVER THE OUTER WATERS, AND
AT OR BELOW 3 FT OVER THE INTER-COASTALS. WINDS FROM THE W/SW
AROUND 10-15KTS TODAY AND TOMORROW, BEFORE RELAXING AND TURNING
CLOCKWISE SATURDAY NIGHT.
SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS SUNDAY.
SWELLS GENERATED FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO
REACH THE COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT, WITH SEAS REACHING SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS. WINDS ALSO INCREASE TO SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS SUNDAY NIGHT. SWELL GENERATED FROM THE
MID-ATLANTIC SYSTEM WILL THEN BRING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL
SEAS EARLY NEXT WEEK. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS SHOULD
PERSIST MONDAY, POSSIBLY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. A CHANCE OF RAIN
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...FROST ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR MEZ015.
MARINE...NONE.
NEAR TERM...ASB
SHORT TERM...CN
LONG TERM...CN
AVIATION...ASB/CN
MARINE...ASB/CN
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