454  
FNUS71 KCAR 112245  
FWSCAR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FOX BROOK FIRE...MAINE FORESTRY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME  
645 PM EDT SAT OCT 11 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1900 EDT ON OCTOBER 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT NWS CARIBOU AT 207-492-0166 WITH ANY FURTHER QUESTIONS.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. MOSTLY CLEAR TONIGHT  
THROUGH SUNDAY THEN PARTLY CLOUDY SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.  
 
WEATHER COVERAGE ABBREVIATIONS... SCH=SLIGHT CHANCE, ISO=ISOLATED,  
CHC=CHANCE, SCT=SCATTERED, LKY=LIKELY, NUM=NUMEROUS,  
DEF=DEFINITE, WID=WIDESPREAD, OCL=OCCASIONAL, PDS=PERIODS,  
ARS=AREAS, PTY=PATCHY  
 
WEATHER TYPE ABBREVIATIONS... DYT=DRY THUNDERSTORMS, TSM=THUNDERSTORMS,  
SN=SNOW, RN=RAIN, SW=SNOW SHOWERS, RW=RAIN SHOWERS,  
DZL=DRIZZLE, FZR=FREEZING RAIN, FZD=FREEZING DRIZZLE, SLT=SLEET,  
FZF=FREEZING FOG, IFG=ICE FOG, HAZ=HAZE, BSN=BLOWING SNOW,  
SMK=SMOKE, FST=FROST, FZS=FREEZING SPRAY, RS=RAIN/SNOW,  
DZF=DRIZZLE/FOG, SNF=SNOW/FOG, RNF=RAIN/FOG,  
ZRS=FREEZING RAIN/SNOW  
 
OTHER ABBREVIATIONS... NA=NOT AVAILABLE, M=MISSING  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST  
OVERNIGHT. AREAS OF FROST AFTER 3 AM.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND CHILL..........33.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 7 TO  
9 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2200 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............7.  
ADI.................3 TO 4.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
 
TIME (EDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM  
SKY (%).........8 10 6 4 2 3 4 7 13 18 20  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY ARS ARS  
WEATHER TYPE.... FST FST FST FST  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............47 44 43 41 40 39 38 37 35 34 33  
RH..............79 89 89 93 92 96 96 96 100 96 100  
WIND CHILL (F)..47 44 43 41 40 39 38 37 35 34 33  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N NE N N NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N N N N N NE N N NE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NE NE NE NE E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 9 8 9 8 8 7  
LVORI...........4 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 9 8 9  
ADI.............4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.  
WIND CHILL..........32.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 4 MPH EARLY IN  
THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 8 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (19300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............6 IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................3 TO 8 INCREASING TO 26 TO 28.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN  
THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM  
SKY (%).........26 21 18 14 4 7 10 11 11 11 14 18  
WEATHER COV.....WID WID PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....FST FST FST  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............32 32 35 40 46 50 53 55 56 56 55 52  
RH..............100 100 96 85 68 61 52 49 45 43 45 52  
WIND CHILL (F)..32 32 35 38 44 48 53 55 56 56 55 52  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 7 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 8 8  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.9 2.5 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.1 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E SE SE SE E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 8 8 7  
LVORI...........9 9 6 4 3 2 2 2 M M M M  
ADI.............3 3 7 8 13 20 26 28 M M M M  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 2 5 9 13 18 19 18 19 15 8  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST  
LATE IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
WIND CHILL..........32.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1400 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............MISSING.  
ADI.................MISSING.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
 
TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM  
SKY (%).........24 28 34 23 33 43 47 50 54 55 57 58  
WEATHER COV..... ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS  
WEATHER TYPE.... FST FST FST FST FST FST FST  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............49 45 41 39 38 38 37 36 35 34 33 32  
RH..............58 68 79 82 82 82 85 85 89 92 92 96  
WIND CHILL (F)..49 45 41 39 38 38 37 36 35 34 33 32  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E NE NE E E E E E E E NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E NE NE E E E E E E E NE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 5  
LVORI...........M M M M M M M M M M M M  
ADI.............M M M M M M M M M M M M  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
COLUMBUS DAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND CHILL..........32.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (19400 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............MISSING.  
ADI.................MISSING.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
 
TIME (EDT) 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM  
SKY (%).........55 52 49 50 50 51 54 56 59 60 62 63  
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS ARS  
WEATHER TYPE....FST FST FST  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............32 33 35 39 44 49 52 55 56 56 55 53  
RH..............96 96 92 82 70 58 50 43 40 40 43 48  
WIND CHILL (F)..32 33 35 37 42 47 52 55 56 56 55 53  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.3 1.7 1.0 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 6 8 9 9 9 8 7 7 6  
LVORI...........M M M M M M M M M M M M  
ADI.............M M M M M M M M M M M M  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 1 4 9 15 18 19 16 10 6 2  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...CN  
REQUESTED BY...HR3257  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2523446.0/CAR  
.DELDT 10/11/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL RCC.HOULTON@MAINE.GOV  
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