327
FXUS61 KCAR 031138
AFDCAR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
738 AM EDT WED JUN 3 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
-7 AM UPDATE: ADJUSTED DEWPOINTS FOR TODAY TO BETTER REFLECT SEA
BREEZE INFLUENCE DOWNEAST AND TO CAPTURE CURRENT OBSERVATIONS
AND TRENDS. UPDATED THE AVIATION SECTION BELOW WITH ISSUANCE OF
THE 12Z TAFS.
-LOWERED DEWPOINTS FOR THURSDAY.
KEY MESSAGES
1) WARM AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE
NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IS FRIDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTH AND
SATURDAY FOR THE REST OF THE AREA AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...WARM AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IS FRIDAY AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE NORTH AND SATURDAY FOR THE REST OF THE AREA AS A COLD
FRONT APPROACHES.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL CONTINUE TO
TRACK SLOWLY TO THE SE. THE HIGH WILL INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES
SOUTH, THUS PULLING IN THE DRY, WARM AIRMASS FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN US. THIS COUPLED WITH AMPLE SUNSHINE WILL BRING
TEMPS INTO THE LOW 80S IN THE NORTH AND UPPER 70S IN THE SOUTH
TODAY. DEW POINTS WILL BE IN THE LOW 40S FOR TODAY, BRINGING RH
VALUES NEAR 20 PERCENT FOR THE AFTERNOON. BY THURSDAY, TEMPS ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE INTO THE UPPER 80S ACROSS THE REGION.
BY FRIDAY A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA WITH INCREASING
MOISTURE AND PWATS. CLOUDY SKIES AND A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS
THE NORTH WILL LEAD TO RELATIVELY COOLER TEMPERATURES OVER THE
AREA WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE UPPER 70S. TEMPERATURES OVER CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN AREAS WILL REMAIN IN THE 80S WITH FRONT
REMAINING/GETTING HUNG UP OVER THE NORTH.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON BUT
CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY ORGANIZED STORMS. HIGHS ON
SATURDAY WILL BE FAIRLY CLOSE TO NORMAL OVER THE NORTH IN MUCKED
UP AIRMASS (I.E. CLOUDS AND SHOWERS) WHILE FAR SOUTHERN AREAS
WILL TOP OUT AROUND 80. MODEL CONSENSUS SHOWS FRONT MOVING
OFFSHORE 06Z SUNDAY.
AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
TODAY-THURSDAY...VFR. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS TODAY AND
TONIGHT, THEN WSW WINDS 5-10 KTS FOR THURSDAY. BGR/BHB AND OTHER
COASTAL TERMINALS WILL SEE A SHIFT TO S WINDS EACH AFTERNOON
WITH THE SEA BREEZE.
THURSDAY NIGHT...VFR. W WINDS 5-10KTS, BECOMING LIGHT NNW LATE.
FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR, POSSIBLE MVFR AROOSTOOK TERMINALS IN SHOWERS
LATE AFTERNOON. LIGHT N WINDS BECOMING VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
FRIDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY...MAINLY VFR AT DOWNEAST TERMINALS. MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS AT AROOSTOOK TERMINALS IN RAIN AND ISOLATED AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS. LIGHT ESE WINDS NORTHERN TERMINALS BECOMING W 5-
10KTS AFTERNOON. LIGHT S WINDS DOWNEAST TERMINALS BECOMING SW 5-
15KTS AFTERNOON.
SATURDAY NIGHT...MVFR/IFR IN SHOWERS. N WINDS 5-10KTS
SUNDAY...MVFR/IFR IN SHOWERS DOWNEAST TERMINALS, IMPROVING TO VFR
LATE. NE WINDS 5-15KTS.
MARINE
WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...AES/21/ARL
AVIATION...AES/21/ARL
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