749
FXUS61 KCAR 032256
AFDCAR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
656 PM EDT WED JUN 3 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
- UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR 0Z TAFS.
- DECREASED DEWPOINTS FOR THURSDAY WITH EFFICIENT MIXING TO
AROUND 850 MB.
KEY MESSAGES
1) WARM AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE
NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IS FRIDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTH AND
SATURDAY FOR THE REST OF THE AREA AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...WARM AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IS FRIDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE NORTH AND SATURDAY FOR THE REST OF THE AREA AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD ACROSS THE NEW ENGLAND
REGION, BRINGING SUBSIDENCE TO THE REGION AND FAIR WEATHER. AS
500MB HEIGHTS RISE UNDER THIS DOMINANT SYNOPTIC PATTERN,
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RISE, WITH LOWS TONIGHT ONLY
FALLING INTO THE LOWER 50S AND HIGH TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY
LIFTING INTO THE MID 80S OVER MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA. A
PROMINENT SEA BREEZE IS EXPECTED ONCE MORE THURSDAY AFTERNOON,
HOWEVER TEMPERATURES SHOULD STILL BE ABLE TO APPROACH 80, IF NOT
LIFT INTO THE LOWER 80S, OVER ALL BUT THE VERY IMMEDIATE COAST
BEFORE THE BOUNDARY BEGINS TO ROLL NORTHWARD AND DECREASE
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA ON FRIDAY,
BRINGING THE NEXT ROUND OF RAIN SHOWERS TO NORTHERN MAINE. LOW
TO MID LEVEL DRY AIR AHEAD OF THIS FRONT, ESTABLISHED UNDER THE
STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE, WILL LIMIT HOW QUICKLY RAIN MOVES
INTO THE CWA, AS WELL AS THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF RAIN BY THE END
OF THE DAY ON FRIDAY. RAIN WILL FINALLY BEGIN TO PUSH INTO THE
BANGOR AND DOWNEAST REGIONS DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY AS THE
PROFILE SATURATES DOWN THROUGH THE SURFACE. OVERALL, THESE
SHOWERS WILL LIKELY ONLY BRING A FEW TENTHS OF AN INCH OF RAIN
DUE TO THEIR CONVECTIVE NATURE. WITH THE INSTABILITY BROUGHT
ABOUT WITH THE COLD FRONT, THERE COULD BE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
THAT DEVELOP DURING PEAK DIURNAL HEATING ON SATURDAY.
AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
TONIGHT-THURSDAY...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR AREAWIDE. S WIND 5-10
KTS EARLY THIS EVENING, DECREASING BY 4Z TO 5 KTS OR LESS LATER
TONIGHT. DURING THE DAY THURSDAY, W/SW WINDS INCREASE TO 10-15
KTS WITH GUSTS 20-25 KTS BY MIDDAY. BGR/BHB AND OTHER COASTAL
TERMINALS WILL SEE A SHIFT TO S WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON WITH THE
SEA BREEZE.
THURSDAY NIGHT...VFR. W WINDS AROUND 5 KTS BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE. LLWS POSSIBLE MAINLY AT NORTHERN TERMINALS LIKE
FVE/CAR/PQI/HUL.
FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR, POSSIBLE MVFR AROOSTOOK TERMINALS IN SHOWERS
LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE, BECOMING S AT 5 TO 10
KTS AT KBGR/KBHB AND COASTAL TERMINALS IN THE AFTERNOON WITH THE
SEA BREEZE.
FRIDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY...MAINLY VFR AT DOWNEAST TERMINALS. MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS AT AROOSTOOK TERMINALS IN RAIN AND ISOLATED AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS. LIGHT ESE WINDS NORTHERN TERMINALS BECOMING W 5-
10KTS AFTERNOON. LIGHT S WINDS DOWNEAST TERMINALS BECOMING SW
5- 15KTS AFTERNOON.
SATURDAY NIGHT...MVFR/IFR IN SHOWERS. N WINDS 5-10KTS
SUNDAY...MVFR/IFR IN SHOWERS DOWNEAST TERMINALS, IMPROVING TO VFR
LATE. NE WINDS 5-15KTS.
MARINE
WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. A SW SWELL WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY, BECOMING A SE SWELL
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WITH A PERIOD OF AROUND 8 TO 10 SECONDS.
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN IN THE MID 40S ACROSS MOST OF
THE COASTAL WATERS.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...AES
AVIATION...AES/TF
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