997
FXUS61 KCAR 041824
AFDCAR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
224 PM EDT THU JUN 4 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
-INCREASING CONFIDENCE IN WARM TEMPERATURES TOMORROW AHEAD OF
APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
KEY MESSAGES
1) WARM AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY, AND RETURNS NEXT WEEK.
THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS IS FRIDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
NORTH AND SATURDAY FOR THE REST OF THE AREA AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...WARM AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY, AND
RETURNS NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS IS FRIDAY
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTH AND SATURDAY FOR THE REST OF THE AREA
AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
A COLD FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH TODAY BUT A WAVE
DEVELOPS ALONG IT AND HANGS IT UP JUST TO OUR NORTH. MOST OF THE
CLOUDS AND ASSOCIATED PRECIP APPEARS TO BE ANAFRONTAL WITH
MAX HEATING OCCURRING BEFORE CLOUDS MOVE IN. THIS MAY BRING
THE WARMEST TEMPS OF THE YEAR IN SOME LOCATIONS, WITH OTHER
LOCATIONS RIVALING TEMPS FROM MAY 20TH OF THIS YEAR IN THE
MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S.
DRY WEATHER EXPECTED INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS SUBSIDENCE WITH
RIDGE IS THE DOMINANT FEATURE. WEAK LOW PRESSURE MOVES IN FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND WITH INSTABILITY PRESENT ALONG WITH FAIRLY STEEP
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES CANNOT RULE OUT ISOLATED THUNDER, MAINLY
TOWARDS THE CENTRAL HIGHLANDS. POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED STORMS LOOKS
SLIM TO NONE AND WILL BE MORE OF THE PULSE VARIETY.
AS THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTH, SHOWERS WILL SPREAD
ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. WITH
SOME INSTABILITY IN PLACE, AS SOME CAMS SUGGEST AT LEAST 500
J/KG CAPE AVAILABLE WITH SOME LIMITED CIN LATE IN THE DAY, THERE
COULD BE SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WHICH DEVELOP SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING, MOSTLY ACROSS THE NORTH WOODS AND DOWN
INTO THE CENTRAL HIGHLANDS.
WARMTH RETURNS NEXT WEEK, WITH TEMPERATURES LIFTING AT LEAST 5
TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGHOUT THE CWA ONCE MORE TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY, WHILE THE WEATHER DRIES OUT ONCE MORE.
AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
TODAY-THURSDAY NIGHT...VFR ALL TERMINALS NEXT 24 HOURS. WSW
10-15KTS WITH GUST TO 20KTS. BHB AND BGR LIKELY TO SEE SHIFT TO
THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON FROM THE SEA BREEZE. WINDS DIMINISH
WITH SUNSET BUT MAINTAIN AROUND 5KTS FROM THE W. LLWS POSSIBLE
BRIEFLY THIS EVENING AT AROOSTOOK TERMINALS.
FRIDAY...VFR AT ALL TERMINALS, WITH POTENTIAL FOR A THUNDERSTORM
AT WEST AND CENTRAL TERMINALS LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING S 5-10KT. DOWNEAST TERMINALS
WITH SEA BREEZE IN THE AFTERNOON.
FRIDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY...MAINLY VFR AT DOWNEAST TERMINALS EXCEPT
FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDER LATE SATURDAY. MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS AT AROOSTOOK TERMINALS IN RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. LIGHT SE WINDS OVERNIGHT INCREASING TO
5 TO 10 KTS DURING THE DAY.
SATURDAY...RAIN SHOWERS FROM KGNR/KMLT/KHUL AND NORTHWARDS, WITH
CIGS FALLING TO MVFR/IFR. VFR AT KBGR/KBHB/COASTAL TERMINALS,
DECREASING LATE. S TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KTS WITH GUSTS TO 20
KTS.
SATURDAY NIGHT...MVFR/IFR WITH RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS ALL TERMINALS.
WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
SUNDAY...CONDITIONS IMPROVING TO VFR THROUGH THE DAY. N WINDS 10
TO 15 KTS WITH GUSTS 20 TO 25 KTS.
SUNDAY NIGHT - TUESDAY...VFR ACROSS ALL TERMINALS. N WINDS 5 TO
10 KTS, BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE EACH NIGHT.
MARINE
NO HEADLINES ANTICIPATED THROUGH FRIDAY AS WINDS AND SEAS REMAIN
BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS. GENERALLY BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CONDITIONS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.
CLIMATE
TEMPS THIS AFTERNOON LOOK TO APPROACH RECORD HIGHS AT TWO CLIMATE
SITES:
SITE FORECAST RECORD
CARIBOU 8888 (1967)
HOULTON 8990 (1967)
BANGOR 8892 (1930)
MILLINOCKET 91 94 (1919)
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING FOR MEZ029-030.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...AES/JMM
AVIATION...AES/JMM
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