518
FXUS61 KCAR 050639
AFDCAR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
239 AM EDT FRI JUN 5 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO FORECAST.
KEY MESSAGES
1) A CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL
MAINE TODAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT BRINGS MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS AREAWIDE THIS WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...A CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVER CENTRAL MAINE TODAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT BRINGS MORE
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
AREAWIDE THIS WEEKEND.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
COLD FRONT HAS DROPPED SOUTH OF HUL AS OF 06Z AND WILL SLOWLY
PUSH OFFSHORE AND/OR DISSIPATE AROUND DAYBREAK. AS LOW PRESSURE
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST, WINDS WILL SHIFT AROUND FROM THE SOUTH
AND RETURN MOISTURE TO THE REGION. A WEAK SFC LOW LOOKS TO
DEVELOP NEAR THE CENTRAL HIGHLANDS THIS AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE AREA. CANNOT RULE OUT A SLGT CHC
FOR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. SHOWERS MOVE
NORTHEAST FRIDAY NIGHT WITH MORE SHOWERS MOVING IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY MORNING. AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES TOWARD THE
EVENING HOURS ON SATURDAY CANNOT RULE OUT A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
STORMS MOVING IN OVER FAR WRN SECTIONS.
RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF SATURDAY NIGHT, ESPECIALLY
OVER NORTHERN MAINE, AS THE COLD FRONT PROGRESSES SOUTHWARD
TOWARDS THE COAST. THROUGHOUT SUNDAY THE MAIN AREA OF RAIN
SHOWERS WILL MOVE TOWARDS CENTRAL MAINE EARLY, THEN EXIT OFF THE
COAST IN THE AFTERNOON. AN ISOLATED RUMBLE OR TWO OF THUNDER IS
POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS SOME WEAK ELEVATED
INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO BE PRESENT BUT TOO LOW OF CONFIDENCE
TOO INCLUDE IN OFFICIAL FORECAST.
WARMTH RETURNS NEXT WEEK, WITH TEMPERATURES RISING TO AT LEAST
5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGHOUT THE CWA TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY, WHILE THE WEATHER DRIES OUT ONCE MORE.
AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
TODAY...VFR. OUTSIDE CHANCE OF A SHOWER/TSTM MAINLY BGR THIS
AFTERNOON. NORTH WINDS 5-10KTS THIS MORNING, BECOMING LGT/VRB
THIS AFTERNOON.
TONIGHT...VFR DOWNEAST TERMINALS. MVFR CIGS (>50% CHANCE) AROOSTOOK
TERMINALS DEVELOPING AFTER 09Z. SHOWERS POSSIBLE NORTH. LIGHT/VRB
IN THE EVENING BECOMING SE 5-10KTS LATE.
SATURDAY...MVFR/IFR NORTH, VFR/MVFR DOWNEAST. CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
NORTH IN THE AFTERNOON, LATE DOWNEAST. S WINDS 5-15KTS.
SATURDAY NIGHT...MVFR/IFR WITH RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS ALL TERMINALS.
WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
SUNDAY...CONDITIONS IMPROVING TO VFR THROUGH THE DAY, FIRST AT
NORTHERN TERMINALS. N WINDS 10 TO 15 KTS WITH GUSTS 20 TO 25
KTS.
SUNDAY NIGHT - TUESDAY...VFR ACROSS ALL TERMINALS. N/NW WINDS 5
TO 10 KTS, BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE EACH NIGHT.
MARINE
GENERALLY BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ON THE COASTAL
AND INTRACOASTAL WATERS FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH
THIS EVENING FOR MEZ029-030.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...21/SM
AVIATION...21/SM
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