006  
FXUS61 KCAR 050949  
AFDCAR  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME  
549 AM EDT FRI JUN 5 2026  
   
WHAT HAS CHANGED  
 
UPDATE FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.  
 
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
1) A CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL  
MAINE TODAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT BRINGS MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN  
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS AREAWIDE THIS WEEKEND.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
KEY MESSAGE 1...A CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
OVER CENTRAL MAINE TODAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT BRINGS MORE  
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS  
AREAWIDE THIS WEEKEND.  
 
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...  
COLD FRONT HAS DROPPED SOUTH OF HOULTON AS OF 06Z AND WILL  
SLOWLY PUSH OFFSHORE AND/OR DISSIPATE AROUND DAYBREAK. AS LOW  
PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST, WINDS WILL SHIFT AROUND FROM  
THE SOUTH AND RETURN MOISTURE TO THE REGION. A WEAK SFC LOW  
LOOKS TO DEVELOP NEAR THE CENTRAL HIGHLANDS THIS AFTERNOON WITH  
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE AREA. CANNOT RULE OUT A  
SLGT CHC FOR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. SHOWERS  
MOVE NORTHEAST FRIDAY NIGHT WITH MORE SHOWERS MOVING IN FROM THE  
WEST SATURDAY MORNING. AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES TOWARD THE  
EVENING HOURS ON SATURDAY CANNOT RULE OUT A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR  
STORMS MOVING IN OVER FAR WRN SECTIONS.  
 
RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF SATURDAY NIGHT, ESPECIALLY  
OVER NORTHERN MAINE, AS THE COLD FRONT PROGRESSES SOUTHWARD  
TOWARDS THE COAST. THROUGHOUT SUNDAY THE MAIN AREA OF RAIN  
SHOWERS WILL MOVE TOWARDS CENTRAL MAINE EARLY, THEN EXIT OFF THE  
COAST IN THE AFTERNOON. AN ISOLATED RUMBLE OR TWO OF THUNDER IS  
POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS SOME WEAK ELEVATED  
INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO BE PRESENT BUT TOO LOW OF CONFIDENCE  
TOO INCLUDE IN OFFICIAL FORECAST.  
 
WARMTH RETURNS NEXT WEEK, WITH TEMPERATURES RISING TO AT LEAST  
5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGHOUT THE CWA TUESDAY INTO  
WEDNESDAY, WHILE THE WEATHER DRIES OUT ONCE MORE.  
 
 
   
AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/  
 
TODAY...VFR. OUTSIDE CHANCE OF A SHOWER/TSTM MAINLY BGR THIS  
AFTERNOON. NORTH WINDS 5-10KTS THIS MORNING, BECOMING LGT/VRB  
THIS AFTERNOON.  
 
TONIGHT...VFR DOWNEAST TERMINALS. MVFR CIGS AROOSTOOK TERMINALS  
DEVELOPING AFTER 06Z. SHOWERS POSSIBLE NORTH. LIGHT/VRB IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING SE 5-10KTS LATE.  
 
SATURDAY...MVFR/IFR NORTH, VFR/MVFR DOWNEAST. CHANCE FOR SHOWERS  
NORTH IN THE AFTERNOON, LATE DOWNEAST. S WINDS 5-15KTS.  
 
SATURDAY NIGHT...MVFR/IFR WITH RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS ALL TERMINALS.  
WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE.  
 
SUNDAY...CONDITIONS IMPROVING TO VFR THROUGH THE DAY, FIRST AT  
NORTHERN TERMINALS. N WINDS 10 TO 15 KTS WITH GUSTS 20 TO 25  
KTS.  
 
SUNDAY NIGHT - TUESDAY...VFR ACROSS ALL TERMINALS. N/NW WINDS 5  
TO 10 KTS, BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE EACH NIGHT.  
 
 
   
MARINE  
 
GENERALLY BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ON THE COASTAL  
AND INTRACOASTAL WATERS FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.  
 
 
   
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
ME...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR MEZ029-030.  
MARINE...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
 
DISCUSSION...21/SM  
AVIATION...21/SM  
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