075
FXUS61 KCAR 061759
AFDCAR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
159 PM EDT SAT JUN 6 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
- REMOVED CHANCE FOR THUNDER ON SUNDAY.
KEY MESSAGES
1) WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.
2) WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, AS HIGH AS 10 TO 15 DEGREES
ABOVE AVERAGE, EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH LATE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE TONIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
THE OPEN WAVE SURFACE LOW IS CURRENTLY POSITIONED IN SOUTHERN
ONTARIO AND CONTINUES TO MOVE EASTWARD TOWARD OUR CWA THIS
EVENING. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHWARDS THROUGH THE REGION
THIS EVENING, BRINGING NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS THROUGHOUT
THE FORECAST AREA. A BRIEF PAUSE IS IN STORE AFTER AROUND
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AS THE WARM SECTOR CROSSES THE REGION, THOUGH
RAIN SHOWERS MAY CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTH, CONTRIBUTING TO
HIGHER RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGHOUT AROOSTOOK COUNTY WITH STORM
TOTAL QPF OF AT LEAST HALF AN INCH.
THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN
FOLLOW INTO THE DAY ON SUNDAY, BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA FROM WEST TO EAST.
PRECIP WILL QUICKLY END BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY, WITH RAIN ENDING
SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.
WITH INCREASING LOW LEVEL INVERSION STRENGTH AND DECREASING
TRENDS IN CAPE FOR NORTHERN AND EASTERN MAINE, HAVE LIMITED
THUNDER THREAT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, AND HAVE
REMOVED THUNDER CHANCES FOR SUNDAY, AS THIS LACK OF INSTABILITY
WILL NOT BE ABLE TO SUPPORT ANY CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.
KEY MESSAGE 2...WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, AS HIGH AS 10
TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE, EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH LATE WEEK.
KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT EXITING THE AREA
SUNDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL LEAD TO DRY WEATHER, MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES,
AND WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE THE WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND AVERAGE ON MONDAY BEFORE BEGINNING
TO WARM ON TUESDAY AND REMAINING HOT THROUGH LATE WEEK.
TEMPERATURES LIKELY TO PEAK AT AROUND 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL WITH THE HIGHEST TEMPERATURES CURRENTLY EXPECTED TOWARDS
THE END OF THE WEEK.
AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
TONIGHT...IFR IN SHOWERS AND LOW STRATUS. S WINDS 5-10KTS EARLY,
BECOMING LIGHT/VRB LATE. BRIEF LLWS POSSIBLE AT KBGR/KBHB AND
COASTAL TERMINALS FROM AROUND 00Z TO 06Z TONIGHT.
SUNDAY...MVFR/IFR IN SHOWERS, IMPROVING TO VFR FROM NORTH TO
SOUTH LATE. N WINDS 5-15 KTS, GUSTING 20-25 KTS.
SUNDAY NIGHT - WEDNESDAY...VFR ACROSS ALL TERMINALS. N/NW WINDS
5 TO 10 KTS, BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE EACH NIGHT.
THURSDAY...VFR AT NORTHERN TERMINALS, CIGS TRENDING TOWARDS
MVFR/IFR FROM GNR/MLT SOUTH AS RAIN MOVES IN. SSE WINDS 5 TO 10
KTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KTS POSSIBLE AROUND KBGR.
MARINE
GENERALLY BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ON THE COASTAL
AND INTRACOASTAL WATERS THROUGH THURSDAY. BRIEF GUSTS TO 25 KTS
ON THE COASTAL WATERS POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...AES/JMM
AVIATION...AES
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