083
FXUS61 KCAR 070618
AFDCAR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
218 AM EDT SUN JUN 7 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
- LOWERED TEMPERATURES TODAY BY SEVERAL DEGREES
- INCREASED RISK OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MID TO LATE WEEK
KEY MESSAGES
1) STORMS VERY EARLY THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO WIDESPREAD
RAIN SHOWERS TODAY AHEAD OF COLD FRONT.
2) ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, AT LEAST 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE
AVERAGE, EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH LATE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...STORMS VERY EARLY THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS TODAY AHEAD OF COLD FRONT.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
A LINE OF STORMS IS MOVING NORTHEAST EARLY THIS MORNING AND WILL
EXIT THE STATE WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS ALONG A PRE-FRONTAL
TROUGH. TEMPS ALOFT HAVE DROPPED ENUF TO WARRANT ELEVATED
INSTABILITY MOVING OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE
CWA, RESULTING IN ISOLATED STORMS IN A BROKEN LINE FROM THE
NORTH WOODS DOWN THROUGH THE KATAHDIN REGION AND INTO WASHINGTON
COUNTY AS OF 06Z. EXPECT THIS LINE TO MOVE INTO NEW BRUNSWICK BY
08Z.
LOW PRESSURE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED BETWEEN MONTREAL AND QUEBEC
CITY AS OF 06Z WITH COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE INTERNATIONAL
BORDER. AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO CWA EARLY THIS MORNING, WINDS
SHIFT AROUND FROM THE NORTH BY 12Z WITH SFC LOW LOCATED IN THE
VICINITY OF THE BANGOR REGION. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY
THE FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THROUGH THE AREA TODAY. GIVEN
CLOUD COVER AND SHOWERY CONDITIONS, NOT EXPECTING ANY
INSTABILITY TO REMAIN AND WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION JUST SHOWERS.
THESE SHOWERS WILL EXIT THE CWA THIS EVENING, LEAVING A DRY AND
WARM DAY ON TAP FOR MONDAY.
KEY MESSAGE 2...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, AT LEAST 5 TO 10
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE, EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH LATE WEEK.
KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT EXITING THE AREA
SUNDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL LEAD TO DRY WEATHER, MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES,
AND WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
AROUND AVERAGE ON MONDAY BEFORE BEGINNING TO WARM ON TUESDAY AND
REMAINING HOT, LIKELY IN THE 80S, THROUGH LATE WEEK.
TEMPERATURES LIKELY TO BE AT LEAST 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH
THE HIGHEST TEMPERATURES CURRENTLY EXPECTED TOWARDS THE END OF
THE WEEK. THE HOT WEATHER SHOULD ALSO HELP TO DEVELOP SOME
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON BEGINNING
WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
EARLY THIS MORNING...IFR WITH POTENTIAL -TSRA AT BHB, HUL, PQI
AND CAR FOR THE NEXT 2 HOURS. ESE WINDS 5-10KTS.
TODAY...IFR/LIFR FOR THE FIRST SEVERAL HOURS IN LOW CIGS AND
LIGHT SHOWERS. GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT TO MVFR THIS AFTERNOON.
NORTHERN AROOSTOOK TERMINALS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR MID-LATE
AFTERNOON. N WINDS 5-15KTS GUSTING TO 25KTS NORTHERN TERMINALS,
WITH DOWNEAST TERMINALS BECOMING NORTH THIS AFTERNOON.
TONIGHT - WEDNESDAY...VFR ACROSS ALL TERMINALS. N/NW WINDS 5 TO
10 KTS, BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE EACH NIGHT.
THURSDAY...VFR AT NORTHERN TERMINALS, CIGS TRENDING TOWARDS
MVFR/IFR FROM GNR/MLT SOUTH AS RAIN SHOWERS, AND POSSIBLY A
THUNDERSTORM, MOVES IN. SSE WINDS 5 TO 10 KTS WITH GUSTS TO 20
KTS POSSIBLE AROUND KBGR.
MARINE
GENERALLY BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ON THE COASTAL
AND INTRACOASTAL WATERS THROUGH THURSDAY. BRIEF GUSTS TO 25 KTS
ON THE COASTAL WATERS POSSIBLE TONIGHT.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...21/SM
AVIATION...21/SM
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