962
FXUS61 KCAR 082325
AFDCAR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
725 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR 00Z TAFS
KEY MESSAGES
1) ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS WEEKEND
WITH SHOWER CHANCES RETURNING LATER WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO
THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THIS WEEKEND WITH SHOWER CHANCES RETURNING LATER WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS
THE HUDSON BAY INTO EASTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST US THIS
WEEK, LEADING TO PERSISTENT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH
DAYTIME HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 70S TO 80S FORECAST THROUGH
THIS WEEKEND. DEW POINTS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN COMFORTABLE IN
THE 50S, LESSENING HEAT RELATED IMPACTS. HEAT RISK IS GENERALLY
IN THE MINOR CATEGORY, SUGGESTING ANY HEAT RELATED ISSUES WILL
BE MOSTLY CONFINED TO VULNERABLE POPULATIONS. THE WARMEST DAY
CLOSER TO THE DOWNEAST COAST WILL BE TUESDAY BEFORE WINDS BECOME
LIGHTER AND OUT OF THE SOUTH WITH THE DAILY SEA BREEZE.
A WEAK DISTURBANCE CUTTING UNDERNEATH THE RIDGE NEAR THE US-
CANADA BORDER WILL PROVIDE MOISTURE FOR CLOUD COVER AND SHOWERS
LATE WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY. THE GREATEST CHANCES WILL BE
ACROSS WESTERN AREAS, WHERE A RUMBLE OF THUNDER IS POSSIBLE. THE
COMBINATION OF POOR MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MINIMAL
INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPES LESS THAN 500 J/KG WILL PRECLUDE MUCH
OF A THUNDER RISK FARTHER EAST.
AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS TONIGHT, BECOME W-WNW AT 6-10KT BY MID TUESDAY
MORNING. NORTHERN TERMINALS SHOULD SEE W-WNW WINDS G15-20KT
AND KBHB A SEA BREEZE STARTING AROUND MIDDAY. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE THAT KBGR ALSO SEES A SEA BREEZE TUESDAY AFTERNOON, BUT
CONFIDENCE IN THIS OCCURRING IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO REFLECT IN
THE TAFS.
TUESDAY NIGHT-WEDNESDAY: VFR. SEA BREEZE AT SOUTHERN TERMINALS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: VFR AT NORTHERN TERMINALS, WITH MVFR OR LOWER
POSSIBLE IN SHOWERS, MAINLY AT SOUTHERN TERMINALS.
THURSDAY-THURSDAY NIGHT: VFR, WITH MVFR OR LOWER POSSIBLE AT
SOUTHERN TERMINALS EARLY.
FRIDAY: MAINLY VFR, WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER.
FRIDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY: MVFR OR LOWER POSSIBLE. S-SW WINDS
G15-20KT POSSIBLE.
MARINE
WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA ON THE
COASTAL OCEAN WATERS THROUGH SATURDAY. THE OUTER WATERS SHOULD
SEE WINDS OF 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS OF 5 FT OR LESS DURING THIS
TIME FRAME.
WATER TEMPERATURES HAVE MODERATED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST COUPLE
WEEKS TO BETWEEN 46 AND 50 DEGREES.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MWS
AVIATION...PM/MWS
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