927
FXUS61 KCAR 240015
AFDCAR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
815 PM EDT THU JUL 23 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
- UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION.
KEY MESSAGES
1) DRY WEATHER WITH GRADUALLY INCREASING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
2) POTENTIAL FOR A SYSTEM MOVING IN EARLY NEXT WEEK, BRINGING
ANOTHER ROUND OF WETTING RAINFALL.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...1) DRY WEATHER WITH GRADUALLY INCREASING TEMPERATURES
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS WILL SETTLE OVER THE STATE TONIGHT,
AND CALMER WINDS ARE IN STORE FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE, SETTLING OUT IN THE 80S
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. CLEAR SKIES AND CALM WINDS TONIGHT WILL ALLOW
FOR EFFECTIVE RADIATIONAL COOLING, AND LOWS COULD DIP TO AROUND 50
DOWNEAST, AND INTO THE UPPER 40S ACROSS THE NORTH. THIS MAY LEAD TO
PATCHY RIVER VALLEY FOG OVER THE AREA TONIGHT AND AGAIN FRIDAY
NIGHT.
KEY MESSAGE 2...POTENTIAL FOR A SYSTEM MOVING IN EARLY NEXT
WEEK, BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF WETTING RAINFALL.
KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION...
HIGH PRESSURE LINGERS OVER THE REGION THIS WEEKEND, AS LOW
PRESSURE EAST OF THE CAROLINAS MOVES NORTHEAST INTO THE GULF OF
MAINE BY MONDAY. TO THE NORTH, ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE OVER CANADA
MOVES TOWARDS THE REGION AS WELL. WETTING RAINFALL EXPECTED,
WITH HIGHER TOTALS ALONG DOWNEAST. THERE COULD BE A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OF ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVING IN TUESDAY.
AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
TONIGHT...VARIABLE CONDITIONS WITH ANY PATCHY FOG LATE.
OTHERWISE, VFR. SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 KNOTS.
FRIDAY...VARIABLE CONDITIONS WITH ANY PATCHY FOG EARLY.
OTHERWISE, VFR. SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS
UP TO AROUND 20 KNOTS.
FRIDAY NIGHT...VARIABLE CONDITIONS WITH ANY PATCHY FOG LATE.
OTHERWISE, VFR. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...VFR. CHANCE FOR SOME FOG SATURDAY
NIGHT. S/SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KTS SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY, BECOMING
LIGHT AND VARIABLE EACH NIGHT. WINDS SHIFT S/SE MONDAY.
MARINE
SEAS DROP BELOW 5FT AFTER 06Z TONIGHT, WITH WINDS AND SEAS BELOW
SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
SEAS BELOW SCA CRITERIA THIS WEEKEND, WITH SEAS AROUND 2-3 FT.
WINDS FROM THE S SATURDAY, SHIFTING E SUNDAY. POTENTIAL FOR
OVERNIGHT FOG SATURDAY NIGHT.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR ANZ050-051.
DISCUSSION...ASB/21
AVIATION...ASB/21/CN
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