146
FXUS61 KCAR 240639
AFDCAR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
239 AM EDT FRI JUL 24 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
- REMOVED MENTION OF FOG IN AVIATION DISCUSSION/TAFS AS HIGH
CLOUDS HAVE REDUCED THE THREAT FOR DENSE FOG FORMATION
- BEACH HAZARD STATEMENT IS IN EFFECT TODAY AS SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES REMAIN COLD, IN THE LOWER 50S, DESPITE CALMER
SEAS AND WARM, SUNNY WEATHER ALONG THE COAST TODAY
KEY MESSAGES
1) DRY WEATHER WITH GRADUALLY INCREASING TEMPERATURES THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
2) POTENTIAL FOR A SYSTEM MOVING IN EARLY NEXT WEEK, BRINGING
ANOTHER ROUND OF WETTING RAINFALL.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...DRY WEATHER WITH GRADUALLY INCREASING
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS REMAINS OVER THE AREA, AND LIGHT WINDS
ARE IN STORE FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE, SETTLING OUT IN THE 80S SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
CLEAR SKIES AND CALM WINDS TONIGHT WILL ALLOW FOR EFFECTIVE
RADIATIONAL COOLING, AND LOWS COULD DIP INTO THE LOWER 50S
THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST AREA. THIS MAY LEAD TO PATCHY RIVER
VALLEY FOG OVER THE AREA TONIGHT.
KEY MESSAGE 2...POTENTIAL FOR A SYSTEM MOVING IN EARLY NEXT
WEEK, BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF WETTING RAINFALL.
KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION...
HIGH PRESSURE LINGERS OVER THE REGION THIS WEEKEND, AS LOW
PRESSURE EAST OF THE CAROLINAS MOVES NORTHEAST INTO THE GULF OF
MAINE BY MONDAY. MEANWHILE, ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE OVER CANADA
MOVES NORTH OF THE STATE WITH A COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE
REGION MONDAY AFTERNOON. SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
AHEAD OF IT IN THE NORTH WOODS BUT GENERALLY THINKING THE CHANCE
IS LOW. A GREATER CHANCE OF A WETTING RAINFALL IS TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM
THE WEST, BUT THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY IN SYSTEM INTENSITY
AND LOCATION. THE CHANCE OF AT LEAST 0.5 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION
IS CURRENTLY ONLY AROUND 30 TO 40 PERCENT.
AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
TODAY - TONIGHT...VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS ALL TERMINALS.
WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE WILL INCREASE SOME THIS AFTERNOON,
BECOMING SW AT 5 TO 10 KTS. WINDS BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE ONCE
MORE TONIGHT. HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS HAVE REDUCED THE CHANCE FOR FOG
EARLY THIS MORNING, BUT SHOULD SKIES REMAIN CLEAR TONIGHT,
RIVER VALLEY FOG COULD BRIEFLY REDUCE VIS AT KPQI AND KHUL LATE
TONIGHT.
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...VFR. S/SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KTS
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY, BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE EACH NIGHT.
WINDS SHIFT S/SE MONDAY.
TUESDAY...POSSIBLE MVFR IN AFTERNOON SHOWERS/T-STORMS, OTHERWISE
VFR. S WINDS 5 TO 10 KTS.
MARINE
WINDS AND SEAS BELOW SCA CRITERIA TODAY THROUGH THIS WEEKEND
AND INTO TUESDAY. SEAS AROUND 2-3 FT. FOG COULD DEVELOP OVER THE
WATERS ON SATURDAY, WHICH COULD LIMIT VISIBILITY.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH
THIS EVENING FOR MEZ029-030.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...AES/SM
AVIATION...AES/SM
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