085
FXUS61 KCAR 140939
AFDCAR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
539 AM EDT FRI AUG 14 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
BEACH HAZARD STATEMENT IN EFFECT FOR TODAY.
UPDATE FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.
KEY MESSAGES
1) FAIR WEATHER THIS WEEKEND WILL GIVE WAY TO MORE UNSETTLED
WEATHER INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...FAIR WEATHER THIS WEEKEND WILL GIVE WAY TO MORE
UNSETTLED WEATHER INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
PATCHY RIVER VALLEY FOG IS DEVELOPING THIS MORNING IN AREAS THAT
SAW RAIN YESTERDAY AND WHERE WINDS HAVE DECOUPLED. NW WINDS
WILL OCCASIONALLY GUST TO BETWEEN 20-25KTS ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN
THIS AFTERNOON WITH FAIRLY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINING
BETWEEN EXITING LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MARITIMES AND BUILDING
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES. AS THE HIGH BUILDS IN SKIES
WILL CLEAR OVERNIGHT AND WINDS BEGIN TO DECOUPLE WITH ANOTHER
ROUND OF PATCHY RIVER VALLEY FOG EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY MORNING.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN THROUGH WEEKEND, WITH DRIER WEATHER AND
COOLER TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH
TEMPERATURES EACH DAY MAY ONLY LIFT INTO THE 70S, AND SKIES
COULD REMAIN MOSTLY SUNNY ON SATURDAY. BY SUNDAY, CLOUD COVER
MAY BEGIN TO INCREASE ONCE MORE AHEAD OF THE NEXT APPROACHING
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM, THOUGH THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THIS SYSTEM
COULD SLOW UPON APPROACH, DELAYING THE ONSET OF MOSTLY CLOUDY
SKIES TO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO CROSS THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK
WILL BE IN THE FORM OF A COLD FRONT WHICH BRINGS ANOTHER ROUND
OF RAIN AND CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS. CURRENT TRENDS SUGGEST
SHOWERS WILL REMAIN SCATTERED ALONG THE BOUNDARY AS THEY MOVE
THROUGH AS THERE WILL BE A LACK OF DEEP MOISTURE SUPPORT, BUT IF
THE TROUGH DEEPENS MORE AND REACHES FURTHER INTO THE GULF,
THERE COULD BE MORE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS DUE TO THE
SYNOPTIC FORCING OF THE COLD FRONT.
AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
TODAY...VFR. NW WINDS 10-15KTS WITH GUSTS 20-25KTS.
TONIGHT-SATURDAY...VFR. IFR FOG POSSIBLE AT TERMINALS EARLY
MORNING, MOST LIKELY PQI AND HUL. NW WINDS 5-10KTS.
SATURDAY NIGHT...VFR UNDER SKC. PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE, MAINLY IN
RIVER VALLEYS. NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KTS, BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE.
SUNDAY...VFR. SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KTS.
SUNDAY NIGHT-MONDAY NIGHT...MVFR/IFR DUE TO SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE AREA WIDE SUNDAY NIGHT, AND
COULD LAST INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON AT SOUTHERN TERMINALS. S
WINDS 5 TO 10 KTS, GUSTS TO 20 KTS.
TUESDAY...VFR UNDER SKC. NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KTS.
MARINE
WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA
THROUGH THE WEEKEND UNDER HIGH PRESSURE. WINDS INCREASE TO AOA
25KTS OVER THE WATERS FROM 25-60NM ON MONDAY WITH SEAS RISING TO
AROUND 5FT, BEFORE DIMINISHING MONDAY NIGHT.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR MEZ029-030.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...21/JMM
AVIATION...21/JMM
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