013
FXUS61 KCAR 010730
AFDCAR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
330 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
- NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
1) WIDESPREAD SOAKING RAIN EXPECTED THURSDAY. SOME
DROUGHT RELIEF IS POSSIBLE, THOUGH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...WIDESPREAD SOAKING RAIN EXPECTED THURSDAY. SOME
DROUGHT RELIEF IS POSSIBLE, THOUGH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
HIGH PRESSURE EXITS ACROSS THE MARITIMES WEDNESDAY NIGHT WHILE
AN OCCLUDED FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. AN AREA OF RAIN WILL
BEGIN TO EXPAND EASTWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY
NIGHT IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. A DISTURBANCE MOVING AROUND AN
UPPER LOW ACROSS QUEBEC PROVINCE WILL HELP SUPPORT A DEVELOPING
LOW ALONG THE FRONT THURSDAY. RAIN WILL OCCUR REGIONWIDE
THURSDAY, ALONG WITH THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORM. THE DEVELOPING LOW WILL BEGIN TO CROSS THE GULF
OF MAINE THURSDAY NIGHT, THOUGH THE EXACT TRACK IS STILL
UNCERTAIN. RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATER THURSDAY
NIGHT. THE SURFACE LOW EXITS ACROSS THE MARITIMES FRIDAY, WHILE
THE UPPER LOW CROSSES THE REGION. SHOWERS WILL PERSIST ACROSS
THE REGION FRIDAY, WITH THE BETTER CHANCES ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS. THE SURFACE/UPPER LOWS VERTICALLY STACK ACROSS THE
MARITIMES FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY, SLOWING THE MOVEMENT OF
THE SYSTEM. SHOWER CHANCES WILL PERSIST FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY. THE SYSTEM THEN EXITS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THE
ENTIRE FORECAST AREA SHOULD RECEIVE A SOAKING RAIN LATER
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER, RAIN TOTALS ARE
STILL UNCERTAIN DEPENDENT ON EXACTLY WHERE THE SURFACE LOW
DEVELOPS AND HOW RAPIDLY THE SYSTEM EXITS.
AVIATION /07Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
TODAY...VFR. CHANCE FOR SOME PATCHY MVFR VALLEY FOG EARLY,
ESPECIALLY AT PQI AND HUL. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS AT NORTHERN
TERMINALS, AND A S/SE BREEZE AT KBGR/KBHB.
TONIGHT...VFR. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
WEDNESDAY...VFR. SE WIND 5 TO 10 KTS.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...VFR EARLY, THEN LOWERING TO IFR/LIFR WITH
INCREASING RAIN CHANCES. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS.
THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...MVFR/IFR, OCCASIONAL LIFR.
RAIN AND PATCHY FOG. SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORM. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO
AROUND 20 KNOTS THURSDAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS,
BECOMING VARIABLE THURSDAY NIGHT.
FRIDAY...MVFR, OCCASIONAL IFR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. VARIABLE
WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS, BECOMING NORTH/NORTHEAST.
FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. NORTH/NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS FRIDAY NIGHT,
THEN 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 20 KNOTS SATURDAY.
MARINE
WINDS/SEAS BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS TODAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS POSSIBLE
THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. A CHANCE OF RAIN LATER WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. RAIN THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A
THUNDERSTORM THURSDAY AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG LATER WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...CN
AVIATION...CN/JMM
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