042
FXUS61 KCAR 020654
AFDCAR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
254 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
- NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
1) WIDESPREAD SOAKING RAIN EXPECTED THURSDAY. SOME
DROUGHT RELIEF IS POSSIBLE, THOUGH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...WIDESPREAD SOAKING RAIN EXPECTED THURSDAY. SOME
DROUGHT RELIEF IS POSSIBLE, THOUGH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
HIGH PRESSURE EXITS ACROSS THE MARITIMES TONIGHT WHILE AN
OCCLUDED FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. AN AREA OF RAIN WILL
BEGIN TO EXPAND EASTWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT IN
ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. A DISTURBANCE MOVING AROUND AN UPPER LOW
ACROSS QUEBEC PROVINCE WILL HELP SUPPORT A DEVELOPING LOW ALONG
THE FRONT THURSDAY. RAIN WILL OCCUR REGIONWIDE THURSDAY. THE
DEVELOPING LOW WILL CROSS THE GULF OF MAINE THURSDAY NIGHT.
RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATER THURSDAY NIGHT. THE
SURFACE LOW EXITS ACROSS THE MARITIMES FRIDAY, WITH A TROF
EXTENDING BACK ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA, WHILE THE UPPER LOW
BEGINS TO MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION. SHOWERS WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY, WITH THE BETTER CHANCES ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS. COULD ALSO HAVE THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF A
THUNDERSTORM FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE SURFACE/UPPER LOWS VERTICALLY
STACK ACROSS THE MARITIMES FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY, SLOWING
THE MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM. A DISTURBANCE MOVING AROUND THE
MARITIMES SYSTEM WILL ROTATE ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY. SHOWER
CHANCES WILL PERSIST FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. THE SYSTEM THEN
EXITS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
SHOULD RECEIVE A SOAKING RAIN LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT. GENERALLY EXPECT RAINFALL TOTALS OF A HALF TO
THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY, WITH AREAS OF UP TO AROUND AN
INCH.
AVIATION /07Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
TODAY...VFR FOR ALL TERMINALS. SE WINDS 5-10 KTS.
TONIGHT...VFR EARLY, THEN BECOMING IFR/LIFR FOR SOUTH TERMINALS
AND MVFR/IFR FOR NORTH TERMINALS LATE. RAIN WILL MOVE IN FROM
WEST TO EAST LATE OVERNIGHT. PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE, MAINLY AT
SOUTHERN TERMINALS. SE WINDS 5-10 KTS.
THURSDAY...MVFR/IFR, OCCASIONAL LIFR. RAIN AND PATCHY FOG.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 20
KNOTS.
THURSDAY NIGHT...MVFR/IFR, OCCASIONAL LIFR. RAIN TAPERING TO
SHOWERS. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS, BECOMING VARIABLE.
FRIDAY...MVFR/IFR IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING VFR/MVFR.
SHOWERS NORTH, A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DOWNEAST. VARIABLE WINDS 5
TO 10 KNOTS, BECOMING NORTH/NORTHEAST.
FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...VFR/MVFR, OCCASIONAL IFR, WITH
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NORTH/NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS
FRIDAY NIGHT, THEN 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 20
KNOTS SATURDAY.
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...VFR. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15
KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 20 KNOTS.
MARINE
WINDS AND SEAS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TODAY INTO THURSDAY. HOWEVER, A FEW WIND GUSTS COULD
APPROACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS LATER THURSDAY. A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN LATER TONIGHT, THEN RAIN THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY
NIGHT. A SLIGHT CHANCE/CHANCE OF SHOWERS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
PATCHY FOG TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...CN
AVIATION...CN/JMM
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