056
FXUS61 KCAR 030644
AFDCAR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
244 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
- NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
1) WIDESPREAD SOAKING RAIN EXPECTED TODAY INTO TONIGHT. SOME
DROUGHT RELIEF IS POSSIBLE, THOUGH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
SHOWERY CONDITIONS PERSIST FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...WIDESPREAD SOAKING RAIN EXPECTED TODAY INTO
TONIGHT. SOME DROUGHT RELIEF IS POSSIBLE, THOUGH FLOODING IS NOT
EXPECTED. SHOWERY CONDITIONS PERSIST FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
A DISTURBANCE MOVING AROUND AN UPPER LOW ACROSS QUEBEC PROVINCE
WILL HELP SUPPORT A DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW ALONG AN APPROACHING
OCCLUDED FRONT TODAY. RAIN WILL OCCUR REGIONWIDE TODAY. THE
DEVELOPING LOW WILL CROSS THE GULF OF MAINE TONIGHT. RAIN WILL
PERSIST EARLY TONIGHT, THEN TAPER TO SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. THE
SURFACE LOW EXITS ACROSS THE MARITIMES FRIDAY, WITH A TROF
EXTENDING BACK ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA, WHILE THE UPPER LOW
BEGINS TO MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION. SHOWERS WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY, WITH THE BETTER CHANCES ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS. COULD ALSO HAVE THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF A
THUNDERSTORM FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE SURFACE/UPPER LOWS VERTICALLY
STACK ACROSS THE MARITIMES FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY, SLOWING
THE MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM. A DISTURBANCE MOVING AROUND THE
MARITIMES SYSTEM WILL ROTATE ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY. SHOWER
CHANCES WILL PERSIST FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. THE SYSTEM THEN
EXITS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
SHOULD RECEIVE A SOAKING RAIN TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. GENERALLY
EXPECT RAINFALL TOTALS OF A HALF TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH
ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA TODAY INTO SATURDAY, WITH AREAS
OF UP TO AROUND AN INCH.
AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
TODAY...MVFR/IFR, OCCASIONAL LIFR. RAIN AND PATCHY FOG.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 20
KNOTS.
TONIGHT...MVFR/IFR, OCCASIONAL LIFR. RAIN TAPERING TO
SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS, BECOMING
VARIABLE.
FRIDAY...IFR/LIFR IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING VFR/MVFR. AREAS
OF FOG EARLY. SHOWERS LIKELY NORTH, A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
DOWNEAST. VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS, BECOMING NORTH.
FRIDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY...VFR/MVFR, OCCASIONAL IFR, WITH A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. N WINDS 5-10 KTS, THEN INCREASING TO 10-15 KTS SATURDAY.
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...VFR. N WINDS 5-10 KTS.
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...VFR. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MARINE
WINDS/SEAS GENERALLY BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS TODAY
THROUGH FRIDAY. HOWEVER, A FEW WIND GUSTS COULD APPROACH SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN TODAY THROUGH EARLY
TONIGHT, THEN TAPERING TO SHOWERS LATER TONIGHT. A SLIGHT
CHANCE/CHANCE OF SHOWERS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. AREAS OF FOG
TODAY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY SEAS
WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA. BEGINNING SATURDAY, WIND GUSTS WILL REACH
CRITERIA AND PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING IN THE INTRACOASTAL
AND COASTAL WATERS. ON THE OUTER WATERS, WIND GUSTS WILL
APPROACH GALE CRITERIA.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ARL/CN
AVIATION...ARL/CN
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