364
FXUS61 KCLE 081707
AFDCLE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
107 PM EDT FRI AUG 8 2025
..18Z TAF FORECAST UPDATE
SYNOPSIS
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN INFLUENCE OVER THE REGION THROUGH
THIS WEEKEND BEFORE A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT APPROACHES NEXT
WEEK.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CONUS WILL CONTINUE TO
INFLUENCE THE REGION THROUGH THE NEAR TERM PERIOD, RESULTING IN
CONTINUED DRY WEATHER AND WARMING TEMPERATURES. CAN'T
COMPLETELY RULE OUT AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM WITH PEAK
DIURNAL INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY THIS EVENING, BUT
THE MAJORITY OF GUIDANCE FAVORS DRY WEATHER THROUGH THE ENTIRE
NEAR TERM PERIOD.
WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE OUT OF THE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST THROUGH
SATURDAY WITH A LAKE BREEZE LIKELY PRODUCING ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN
A FEW MILES OF THE LAKESHORE EACH AFTERNOON. TODAY'S HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE 80S WITH THE WARMEST TEMPS ANTICIPATED ACROSS NW OH
AND EXPECT OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 60S. PORTIONS OF NW OH WILL
LIKELY EXPERIENCE SLIGHTLY WARMER LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
AROUND 70 DEGREES. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM FURTHER ON SATURDAY AS
THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS BUILDS INTO THE AREA. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
MID TO UPPER 80S WITH LOWER 90S POSSIBLE ALONG AND WEST OF THE
I-75 CORRIDOR.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
THE CWA WILL MOST LIKELY BE ON THE BACK SIDE OF A RIDGE AXIS
LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL RESULT IN
RETURN FLOW AND BUILDING HEAT AND HUMIDITY. WIDESPREAD UPPER 80S
AND LOWER 90S ARE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 60S AND LOWER 70S ANTICIPATED. HEAT
INDICES COULD CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 90S ACROSS PORTIONS OF NW OH
DURING THE AFTERNOON ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES MAY RETURN TO NW OH
AS EARLY AS MONDAY AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST, BUT THERE'S STILL QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE
TIMING/PLACEMENT OF ANY PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION SO MAINTAINED
LOW POPS MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
AN UPPER TROUGH AND SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO APPROACH
THE AREA ON TUESDAY BEFORE SLOWING AND WAVERING SOMEWHERE
ACROSS THE AREA OR GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK. THE FRONT PAY PERIODICALLY DIP INTO THE LOCAL AREA DURING
THIS TIME, BUT CONFIDENCE IN THE EXACT PLACEMENT OF THE FRONT
IS LOW. EITHER WAY, SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE
DURING THE LONG TERM PERIOD WITH POPS PEAKING DURING THE
AFTERNOON EACH DAY. MAY NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON HEAVY
RAIN/FLOODING POTENTIAL, BUT THIS RISK WILL DEPEND ON THE
PLACEMENT OF THE FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL MOST LIKELY BE A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL, ALTHOUGH RAIN/EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER MAY
MODERATE THESE VALUES CLOSER TO NORMAL.
AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS. THERE WILL BE SOME SCATTERED AFTERNOON CU AROUND 5000
FEET TODAY. THE CU WILL FADE AWAY BY 22Z. THERE COULD BE SOME
PATCHY LIGHT GROUND FOG LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNRISE TOMORROW
MORNING. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 5 TO
10 KNOTS. THE LAKE BREEZE WILL BE CLOSE TO ERI AND MAYBE CLE
THIS AFTERNOON BUT HAVE LEFT IT OUT OF THE TAF WITH THIS UPDATE.
OUTLOOK...VFR LARGELY EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS
POTENTIAL FOR SOME NON-VFR VISIBILITY EVERY MORNING IN TYPICAL
LOCATIONS FOR VALLEY FOG.
MARINE
GOOD MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON LAKE ERIE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND. FLOW WILL BE LIGHT
TODAY WITH LAKE BREEZES AND ONSHORE FLOW DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON.
LAKE BREEZES ARE ALSO EXPECTED ON THE EASTERN HALF OF LAKE ERIE ON
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BE A LITTLE STRONGER
OVERNIGHT WITH WINDS OF 10-15 KNOTS. WAVES THROUGH THE PERIOD
ARE EXPECTED TO BE 2 FEET OR LESS. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
APPROACH THE LAKE FROM THE NORTH ON TUESDAY BRINGING INCREASING
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS FRONT MAKES SLOW
PROGRESS SETTLING SOUTH ACROSS THE LAKE THROUGH THE MID-WEEK
PERIOD.
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...15
NEAR TERM...15
SHORT TERM...15
LONG TERM...15
AVIATION...77
MARINE...77
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