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FXUS61 KCLE 081732
AFDCLE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
132 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2025
SYNOPSIS
HIGH PRESSURE WILL ENTER THE REGION TODAY AND MOVE EAST INTO NEW
ENGLAND FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD FROM THE NORTH
FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
A WEAK TROUGH REMAINS OVER LAKE ERIE THIS MORNING WITH COLD
ADVECTION ALOFT. SOME CLOUDS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THIS FEATURE, BUT
SOME SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP IN THE PRE-DAWN HOURS AND MAY DRIFT INTO NE
OH AND NW PA THIS MORNING. HAVE SOME 20% POPS TO REFLECT SOME RAIN
CHANCES THIS AM. OTHERWISE, TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS MORNING HAVE
COOLED OFF QUICKLY AND ADJUSTED TEMPERATURES DOWN TO HAVE SOME UPPER
30S IN NE OH/NW PA.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION TODAY AND BACKING FLOW WILL
ALLOW FOR ANY LAKE EFFECT CLOUDS OR RAIN TO STOP WITH SOME WARMER
RETURN FLOW ENTERING BY THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON
WILL STILL REMAIN ON THE COOLER SIDE OF NORMAL WITH 60S AND 70S.
WITH CLEAR CONDITIONS AND CALM WINDS TONIGHT UNDER HIGH PRESSURE,
THE ATMOSPHERE WILL DECOUPLE AND TEMPERATURES FOR TONIGHT WILL
PLUMMET INTO THE 30S AND 40S LIKE THIS MORNING AND FROST POTENTIAL
WILL MISS THE AREA JUST OFF TO THE EAST IN PA/NY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BE TO THE EAST OF THE AREA ON TUESDAY AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE.
WARMER RETURN FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR HIGHS TO BE BACK TOWARD NORMAL IN
THE 70S ON TUESDAY.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE THE REGION FOR THE SHORT
TERM FORECAST PERIOD. A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA ON
WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT WILL BE A DRY PASSAGE WITH A LACK OF MOISTURE IN
THE REGION AND ONLY A MARGINALLY COOLER AIR MASS THAT WILL NOT
GENERATE ANY LAKE EFFECT CLOUDS OR RAIN. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
FROM THE NORTH BEHIND THIS FEATURE AND RETAIN THE DRY WEATHER
THROUGH THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL BE
SEASONABLE.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE AREA WILL ALLOW FOR DRY WEATHER TO START
THE WEEKEND. THIS SURFACE HIGH WILL SHIFT EAST FOR SATURDAY INTO THE
NEW ENGLAND STATES. FOR SUNDAY, A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT
MAY APPROACH THE REGION TO GIVE THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN; HOWEVER,
THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO JUST MISS THE AREA ENTIRELY TO
THE NORTHEAST AND MORE DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE OVER THE LAKE. WILL
HAVE SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
PERIOD REMAIN SEASONABLE.
AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS PERSIST DURING THE TAF PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE
INFLUENCES THE REGION. GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. THE ONE EXCEPTION WILL BE NORTHERLY
WINDS 8-10 KNOTS IMPACTING KCLE/KERI UNTIL ~00Z THIS EVENING DUE
TO A LAKE BREEZE. NORTHERLY LAKE BREEZE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY AT 5-8 KNOTS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.
OUTLOOK...VFR THROUGH SATURDAY.
MARINE
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXIT TO THE NORTHEAST TONIGHT BUT
WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL
GENERALLY TREND SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LAKE ERIE FROM THE
NORTH ON THURSDAY BEFORE ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
OVERHEAD FROM THE NORTH. THESE TWO FEATURES WILL TURN WINDS
NORTHEASTERLY TO NORTHERLY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. WINDS DURING
THIS TIME FRAME WILL REMAIN BETWEEN 5 AND 10 KNOTS.
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...SEFCOVIC
NEAR TERM...SEFCOVIC
SHORT TERM...SEFCOVIC
LONG TERM...SEFCOVIC
AVIATION...13
MARINE...13
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