364
FXUS61 KCLE 092343
AFDCLE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
743 PM EDT TUE SEP 9 2025
SYNOPSIS
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEK. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA LATE SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEAR TERM PERIOD WITH HIGH
PRESSURE IN PLACE. SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES AND GENERALLY LIGHT
WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
NEAR 80. GIVEN THE WEAK MSLP GRADIENT AND WARMER TEMPERATURES,
A LAKE BREEZE WILL DEVELOP LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING/EARLY
AFTERNOON WHICH WILL PUSH LAKESHORE TEMPERATURES DOWN INTO THE
LOW TO MID-70S. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW AVERAGE IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
QUIET WEATHER WILL PERSIST FOR THE SHORT TERM PERIOD AS ANOTHER
AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES. SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S. PERSISTENT NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW OF 10
MPH RESULTING FROM BEING LOCATED ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF
THE HIGH MAY LEAD TO CHILLIER TEMPERATURES ALONG THE LAKESHORE
IN THE LOWER 70S. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
GENERALLY QUIET AND SEASONABLE WEATHER IS FAVORED TO PERSIST
FOR THE LONG TERM PERIOD, THOUGH A COLD FRONT MAY RESULT IN
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
CONFIDENCE IS ON THE LOWER END WITH REGARDS TO AVAILABLE
MOISTURE WITH THE FRONT, THOUGH THE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
TIMING REMAINS ON TRACK. OUTSIDE OF THE FRONT, ANOTHER AREA OF
HIGH PRESSURE APPEARS TO BUILD SOUTH ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES ON
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY, THOUGH A CLOSED UPPER-LEVEL LOW NEAR THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST MAY STUNT ITS SOUTHERN PROGRESSION AND
INFLUENCE.
AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL, WITH FAIRLY LIGHT WINDS AND
PRIMARILY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
ISOLATED RIVER VALLEY FOG AND RADIATION FOG IS POSSIBLE EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LIMITED IMPACTS TO TAF SITES. GIVEN A
SIMILAR PATTERN TO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING WHEN TOL OBSERVED BR
AND CONCURRENCE FROM GLAMP GUIDANCE DID INCLUDE MVFR BR AT TOL
FROM 10-13Z WEDNESDAY...BUT NOT IN ANY OTHER TAFS.
WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT 5KT OR LESS
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AT MOST TAF SITES, WITH EXCEPTIONS AT CLE
AND ERI. EXPECT SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS AT ERI TO INCREASE TO
6-10KT AFTER 6Z TUESDAY BEFORE SLACKENING TO AROUND 5KT AFTER
13Z. WINDS AT CLE AND ERI WILL THEN TURN ONSHORE AGAIN (NORTH-
NORTHEAST AT CLE, NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ERI) WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
DUE TO LAKE BREEZE DEVELOPMENT...EXPECT THIS TO HAPPEN ABOUT TWO
HOURS EARLIER THAN IT DID TODAY, SO HAVE THE WIND SHIFT
OCCURRING 17-18Z AT ERI AND 18-19Z AT CLE.
OUTLOOK...VFR THROUGH SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT MAY BRING RAIN
SHOWERS WITH A CHANCE FOR NON-VFR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
MARINE
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 5-10 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON WILL TURN
SOUTHERLY TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE EXITS TO THE NORTHEAST. A
WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE LAKE WEDNESDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL
TURN WINDS NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY THROUGH FRIDAY. SOUTHERLY
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN ON SATURDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN AT
OR BELOW 10 KNOTS WITH WAVE HEIGHTS OF 2 FEET OR LESS THROUGH
THE PERIOD. DAILY LAKE BREEZE DEVELOPMENT WILL TURN WINDS
ONSHORE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS WEDNESDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY.
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...KAHN
NEAR TERM...KAHN
SHORT TERM...KAHN
LONG TERM...KAHN
AVIATION...SULLIVAN
MARINE...13
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page