932  
FXUS61 KCLE 131002  
AFDCLE  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH  
502 AM EST SAT DEC 13 2025  
   
SYNOPSIS  
 
A RIDGE CONTINUES TO EXIT TOWARD NEW ENGLAND BEFORE A STRONG COLD  
FRONT SWEEPS SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH OUR REGION BETWEEN ROUGHLY  
DAYBREAK AND LATE THIS AFTERNOON. BEHIND THE FRONT, A TROUGH  
LINGERS OVER AND NEAR LAKE ERIE THROUGH SUNDAY AS A RIDGE BUILDS  
FROM THE NORTH-CENTRAL UNITED STATES TO THE OHIO VALLEY. THE RIDGE  
THEN BUILDS EASTWARD ACROSS OUR ENTIRE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO  
MONDAY.  
 
 
   
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/  
 
- LAKE-EFFECT SNOW (LES) WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NW PA  
FROM 7 AM TODAY TO 7 AM EST THIS MONDAY  
- LES WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE PRIMARY SNOWBELT OF NE OH  
AND CUYAHOGA COUNTY FROM 10 AM TODAY TO 7 AM THIS MONDAY  
- WINTER WX ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SECONDARY  
SNOWBELT OF NE OH FROM 1 PM TODAY TO 7 AM THIS MONDAY  
- WINTER WX ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR STARK AND MAHONING  
COUNTIES FROM 1 PM TODAY TO 7 PM SUNDAY  
- REMAINDER OF WINTER WX ADVISORY IN NORTHERN OH REMAINS IN  
EFFECT FROM 1 PM TODAY TO 7 AM SUNDAY  
 
IN THE MID/UPPER-LEVELS, CYCLONIC W'ERLY FLOW ALOFT PERSISTS  
OVER THE LAKE ERIE REGION AND UPPER OH VALLEY THROUGH TONIGHT AS  
EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGHS AFFECT OUR REGION AND A PRIMARY  
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AXIS APPROACHES FROM MB, CANADA AND EVENTUALLY  
THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES. CLOSER TO THE SURFACE, A SHORTWAVE  
TROUGH AXIS IN ROUGHLY THE 925 TO 700 MB LAYER WILL MOVE FROM  
THE NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS THIS MORNING TOWARD NEW ENGLAND AND  
THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY. AT THE SURFACE, A  
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP GENERALLY SE'WARD ACROSS OUR REGION  
BETWEEN ROUGHLY DAYBREAK AND LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE  
PRECEDING RIDGE CONTINUES TO EXIT TOWARD NEW ENGLAND. BEHIND THE  
FRONT, A THERMAL TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER RELATIVELY-WARM LAKE ERIE  
WHILE AN ARCTIC RIDGE BUILDS FROM THE NORTH-CENTRAL UNITED  
STATES TO THE OH VALLEY AND VICINITY. TODAY'S DAYTIME HIGHS WILL  
REACH THE MID 20'S TO LOWER 30'S AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. THE  
"WARMEST" HIGHS ARE EXPECTED FARTHER TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST  
IN OUR CWA, WHERE A LATER COLD FRONT PASSAGE WILL OCCUR. STRONG  
POST-FRONT LOW-LEVEL CAA WILL CONTRIBUTE TO LOWS REACHING MAINLY  
THE 5F TO 15F RANGE AROUND DAYBREAK SUNDAY.  
 
EARLY THIS MORNING, LES IS ORGANIZING/STRENGTHENING GRADUALLY  
OVER LAKE ERIE AND OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN NY AMIDST A  
CYCLONIC WSW'ERLY TO SW'ERLY MEAN LOW-LEVEL FLOW OF  
SUFFICIENTLY-COLD/MOIST AIR OVER/DOWNWIND OF THE ~3C LAKE, WEAK  
LAKE-INDUCED CAPE (LICAPE), AND LOW/MID-LEVEL MOISTURE  
ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND AFOREMENTIONED 925-700 MB  
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AXIS. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS  
SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE FRONT'S PASSAGE AS CONVERGENCE/ASCENT  
ALONG THE FRONT RELEASE WEAK POTENTIAL INSTABILITY LOCATED IN  
THE LOWEST 1 KM AGL. LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE/ASCENT ALONG THE  
FRONT WILL ALSO ENHANCE THE LAKE ERIE LES. THE LES WILL SETTLE  
S'WARD INTO OUR PRIMARY SNOWBELT COUNTIES DURING THE MID-  
MORNING THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON HOURS OF TODAY AS THE COLD  
FRONT'S PASSAGE CAUSES MEAN LOW-LEVEL FLOW TO VEER FROM SW'ERLY  
TO W'ERLY. THE LES WILL BE STEADY TO HEAVY AT TIMES PER MODEL  
SOUNDINGS, WHICH CONTINUE TO INDICATE LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE  
ALONG THE MAJOR AXIS OR AXES OF LES BANDING WILL RESULT IN A  
CROSSHAIR SIGNATURE (I.E. MODERATE TO STRONG AND MAXIMIZED  
ASCENT WILL BE COLOCATED WITH A CLOUDY DGZ AT LEAST 0.5 TO 1 KM  
DEEP). DURING THIS EVENING THROUGH DAYBREAK SUNDAY, THE LES WILL  
SETTLE OVER THE SNOWBELT AND VICINITY IN NE OH/NW PA AS THE  
MEAN LOW- LEVEL FLOW OF PROGRESSIVELY COLDER/SUFFICIENTLY-MOIST  
AIR VEERS FROM W'ERLY TO NW'ERLY AND LICAPE GROWS TO MODERATE  
MAGNITUDES, DUE IN PART TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF UPSTREAM MOISTURE  
CONNECTIONS TO LAKES HURON AND ST. CLAIR. THE LES WILL BE STEADY  
TO HEAVY AT TIMES, WITH SNOWFALL RATES AS HIGH AS 1-2" PER  
HOUR, DUE IN PART TO A CROSSHAIR SIGNATURE. IN ADDITION TO THE  
LES, WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD OUR REGION FROM WEST TO  
EAST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH VERY EARLY EARLY EVENING. THIS SNOW  
WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH MOIST ISENTROPIC ASCENT AND  
FRONTOGENETICAL CONVERGENCE AHEAD OF THE AFOREMENTIONED 925 TO  
700 MB SHORTWAVE TROUGH AXIS. THE FRONTOGENETICAL CONVERGENCE  
WILL RESULT FROM FLOW IN THAT AFOREMENTIONED LAYER BACKING  
SLIGHTLY FROM W'ERLY TO WSW'ERLY AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE'S AXIS.  
THIS BACKING OF THE 925 TO 700 MB MEAN FLOW IS STILL EXPECTED TO  
BE MOST-PRONOUNCED FARTHER SOUTH IN OUR CWA. THE WIDESPREAD  
SNOW SHOULD BE STEADY TO HEAVY AT TIMES, ESPECIALLY ROUGHLY  
ALONG AND SOUTH OF U.S. ROUTE 30, WHERE THE FGEN ALOFT AND MOIST  
ISENTROPIC ASCENT SHOULD ALLOW MODERATE TO STRONG AND MAXIMIZED  
ASCENT TO BE COLOCATED WITH A CLOUDY DGZ ABOUT 1 TO 2 KM DEEP,  
WHICH SHOULD YIELD PERIODIC SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 1" PER HOUR.  
NOTE: AS THE WIDESPREAD SNOW OVERSPREADS LAKE ERIE AND VICINITY,  
THE SEEDER-FEEDER PROCESS AND CONTINUED PRESENCE OF AT LEAST  
WEAK LICAPE OVER THE LAKE SHOULD ENHANCE THE AFOREMENTIONED LES  
FURTHER FOR A TIME THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE WIDESPREAD  
SNOW WILL THEN EXIT OUR ENTIRE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST BETWEEN  
~6 PM AND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AS MUCH DRIER AIR, ESPECIALLY IN THE  
850 TO 700 MB LAYER, OVERSPREADS OUR AREA BEHIND THE SHORTWAVE  
TROUGH AXIS.  
 
BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY, FRESH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO  
REACH 1-5" OUTSIDE THE SNOWBELT. THE GREATEST OF THESE  
ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE FOCUSED ROUGHLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF U.S.  
ROUTE 30, WHERE THE WINTER WX ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT. WITHIN  
THE SNOWBELT OF NE OH/NW PA, FRESH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD  
REACH 3-7" BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY. THE GREATEST OF THESE ACCUMULATIONS  
ARE EXPECTED IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN JUST EAST OF CLEVELAND AND  
IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY, PA, WHERE UPSLOPE  
ENHANCEMENT OF SNOW WILL ALSO BE A FACTOR.  
 
 
   
SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/  
 
UP IN THE MID/UPPER-LEVELS, THE PROMINENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH AXIS  
SHOULD SWEEP SE'WARD ACROSS OUR CWA BETWEEN DAYBREAK AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON ON SUNDAY. BEHIND THAT SHORTWAVE TROUGH AXIS, HIGH  
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BUILD GENERALLY FROM THE  
WEST THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND AS MENTIONED IN THE NEAR-TERM  
SECTION, THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH A RATHER COLD  
AIR MASS. HOWEVER, ON MONDAY, ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH SHOULD  
MOVE SE'WARD ACROSS OUR REGION AND TEMPORARILY WEAKEN THE RIDGE  
AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT. DAYTIME HIGHS SHOULD REACH ONLY THE  
15F TO 25F RANGE ON SUNDAY AND THE UPPER TEENS TO UPPER 20'S ON  
MONDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS SHOULD REACH MAINLY THE 5F TO 15F RANGE  
AROUND DAYBREAK MONDAY AND 10F TO THE UPPER TEENS AROUND  
DAYBREAK TUESDAY. THE COLDEST WIND CHILLS OF THE SEVEN-DAY  
FORECAST PERIOD ARE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. WIND CHILLS  
AS COLD AS 0F TO -10F ARE EXPECTED AROUND DAYBREAK SUNDAY AND  
AS COLD AS THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE 0F TO NEARLY -10F AROUND  
DAYBREAK MONDAY.  
 
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS MOST OF OUR REGION DURING THE  
SHORT-TERM PERIOD, DUE IN PART TO STABILIZING SUBSIDENCE  
ACCOMPANYING THE RIDGE. HOWEVER, PERIODS OF LES WILL IMPACT THE  
SNOWBELT OF NE OH/NW PA AND VICINITY ON SUNDAY AMIDST NW'ERLY  
MEAN LOW-LEVEL FLOW OF SUFFICIENTLY-COLD/MOIST AIR, WEAK TO  
MODERATE LICAPE OVER LAKE ERIE, AND UPSTREAM MOISTURE  
CONNECTIONS TO LAKES ST. CLAIR AND HURON. THUS, THE LES WILL  
LIKELY BE STEADY TO HEAVY AT TIMES. DURING SUNDAY NIGHT, THE LES  
IS STILL EXPECTED TO SHIFT N'WARD TO OUR PRIMARY SNOWBELT  
COUNTIES AND VICINITY AS THE MEAN LOW-LEVEL FLOW OF  
SUFFICIENTLY-COLD/MOIST AIR BACKS GRADUALLY TO W'ERLY. THE LES  
SHOULD WEAKEN DUE TO SYNOPTIC LOW-LEVEL DRY AIR ADVECTION AND A  
LOWERING SUBSIDENCE INVERSION ACCOMPANYING THE BUILDING RIDGE,  
WHICH WILL WEAKEN LICAPE. BETWEEN DAYBREAK SUNDAY AND DAYBREAK  
MONDAY, ADDITIONAL LES ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HIGHLY  
VARIABLE AND RANGE FROM A COATING TO 7". THE GREATEST OF THESE  
ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE FOCUSED IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF  
SOUTHERN ERIE AND NORTHERN CRAWFORD COUNTIES IN NW PA, DUE TO A  
COMBINATION OF UPSLOPE ENHANCEMENT AND A FAIRLY PROLONGED  
UPSTREAM MOISTURE CONNECTION TO LAKE HURON.  
 
LES IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST OVER AND DOWNWIND OF LAKE ERIE ON  
MONDAY THROUGH MOST OF MONDAY NIGHT AMIDST AT LEAST WEAK LICAPE  
AND A SUFFICIENTLY-COLD/MOIST MEAN LOW-LEVEL FLOW THAT SHOULD  
VARY BETWEEN SW'ERLY AND W'ERLY. THUS, THE LES SHOULD BE  
TRANSIENT. AHEAD OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE TROUGH AXIS,  
MOIST ISENTROPIC ASCENT MAY ALLOW SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TO  
OCCUR OUTSIDE THE LES, ESPECIALLY IN NE OH AND NW PA. IN  
ADDITION, THE SEEDER-FEEDER PROCESS SHOULD OCCUR AHEAD OF THE  
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AXIS AND ENHANCE THE LES FOR A TIME. ADDITIONAL  
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF A COATING TO SEVERAL INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.  
THE LES SHOULD WEAKEN MONDAY NIGHT AND END BY DAYBREAK TUESDAY  
AMIDST WEAKENING LICAPE DUE IN PART TO A LOWERING SUBSIDENCE  
INVERSION BEHIND THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AXIS.  
 
 
   
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/  
 
CURRENT ODDS FAVOR DRY WEATHER THIS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY  
AS THE ABOVE-MENTIONED RIDGE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT CONTINUES  
TO EXIT E'WARD. IN ADDITION, NET LOW-LEVEL WAA ALONG THE  
BACKSIDE OF THE RIDGE SHOULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 20'S TO MID 30'S TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND THE UPPER 30'S TO  
LOWER 40'S WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. LOWS SHOULD REACH MAINLY THE  
20'S AROUND MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT AND BEGIN TO MODERATE DURING  
THE PREDAWN HOURS OF WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE AFOREMENTIONED  
LOW-LEVEL WAA STRENGTHENS.  
 
A TROUGH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT SHOULD OVERSPREAD OUR REGION  
FROM THE WEST ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. IN ADDITION,  
A COLD FRONT SHOULD APPROACH OUR REGION FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST  
AND VICINITY ON THURSDAY AS NET LOW-LEVEL WAA PERSISTS IN  
NORTHERN OH AND NW PA. LOWS SHOULD REACH THE UPPER 20'S TO MID  
30'S WEDNESDAY EVENING AND BE FOLLOWED BY MODERATING READINGS BY  
THE PREDAWN HOURS OF THURSDAY MORNING. HIGHS SHOULD THEN REACH  
THE LOWER 40'S TO 50F ON THURSDAY AS LOW-LEVEL WAA CONTINUES TO  
STRENGTHEN DUE TO DEEPENING OF THE TROUGH AT THE SURFACE AND  
ALOFT. A LOW-LEVEL RETURN FLOW OF WARM AND MOIST AIR FROM THE  
GULF SHOULD UNDERGO ISENTROPIC ASCENT ALOFT, AHEAD OF THE FRONT  
AND PRIMARY TROUGH AXIS ALOFT, AND ALLOW PERIODS OF PRECIP TO  
AFFECT OUR REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. A MIX OF  
SNOW AND RAIN IS IN OUR OFFICIAL FORECAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE  
CHANGING TO JUST RAIN ON THURSDAY AS TEMPERATURES AND WET-BULB  
TEMPERATURES MODERATE VIA WAA AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT. WILL  
HAVE TO MONITOR THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST CLOSELY, INCLUDING  
HOW EXACTLY THE VERTICAL PROFILES OF TEMPERATURE AND WET-BULB  
TEMPERATURE ARE PROJECTED TO EVOLVE.  
 
AT THIS JUNCTURE, IT APPEARS THE COLD FRONT AND PRIMARY TROUGH  
AXIS ALOFT WILL SWEEP E'WARD THROUGH OUR REGION THURSDAY NIGHT  
AND BE FOLLOWED BY A RIDGE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT BUILDING  
FROM THE WEST THROUGH FRIDAY. LOWS SHOULD REACH THE UPPER TEENS  
TO MID 20'S AROUND DAYBREAK FRIDAY. HIGHS SHOULD REACH THE UPPER  
20'S TO MID 30'S FRIDAY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL PERIODS OF PRECIP  
ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT DUE TO CONVERGENCE/MOIST ASCENT  
ALONG THE COLD FRONT AND MOIST ISENTROPIC ASCENT AHEAD OF THE  
TROUGH AXIS ALOFT. BEHIND THE SURFACE COLD FRONT, RAIN SHOULD  
CHANGE TO SNOW VIA THE WET-BULB EFFECT AND CAA AT THE SURFACE  
AND ALOFT BEFORE WIDESPREAD PRECIP ENDS BEHIND THE TROUGH AXIS  
ALOFT. WILL MONITOR TRENDS IN NWP MODEL GUIDANCE FOR ACCUMULATING  
SNOW POTENTIAL. OVERNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY, THE  
ENVIRONMENT SHOULD BECOME COLD AND MOIST ENOUGH TO SUPPORT LES  
OVER/DOWNWIND OF LAKE ERIE, BUT ALL OF THE FOLLOWING REMAIN VERY  
UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME: MEAN LOW-LEVEL FLOW DIRECTION; LICAPE  
MAGNITUDE; PLACEMENT, INTENSITY, AND AMOUNTS OF LES.  
 
 
   
AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/  
 
MVFR CEILINGS BETWEEN 2-3KFT HAVE PUSH EAST ACROSS MUCH OF THE  
AREA, EXCEPT THE FAR EASTERN TIER OF COUNTIES. THESE TERMINALS  
WILL SOON DROP TO MVFR AS WELL, WITH ALL TERMINALS REMAINING  
WITH MVFR CEILINGS FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD. THESE CONDITIONS WILL  
REMAIN STATUS QUO FOR MUCH OF TONIGHT BEFORE AN ARCTIC FRONT  
IMPACTS THE AREA SATURDAY. EARLY SATURDAY, A LAKE EFFECT BAND OF  
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INLAND AROUND 13Z AND WILL IMPACT KERI  
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT KCLE AND KYNG  
ALSO SEE IMPACTS FROM THIS BAND, BUT CONFIDENCE WAS TOO LOW IN  
THOSE SITES TO INCLUDE A MENTION OF SNOW.  
 
BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON, WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AND  
IMPACT ALL TERMINALS. EXPECT TO SEE PERIODS OF IFR TO LIFR  
VISIBILITIES AT TERMINALS, ESPECIALLY WHERE THE HEAVIEST BANDS  
OF SNOW DEVELOP. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN VISIBILITIES LESS THAN  
2SM AT ALL SITES WITH TERMINALS ALONG AND EAST OF I71 LIKELY TO  
DROP TO 1SM OR LESS AT TIMES. THE WORST CONDITIONS AREAWIDE IS  
EXPECTED TO BE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING/EARLY OVERNIGHT  
HOURS BEFORE GRADUALLY IMPROVING FOR WESTERN TERMINALS BY THE  
END OF THIS PERIOD. IT IS DOUBTFUL THAT ANY TERMINALS REBOUNDS  
ALL THE WAY TO VFR BY 06Z SUNDAY, BUT WILL HAVE TO MONITOR  
TRENDS IN THE SNOWFALL TO BEST DETERMINE THAT THROUGHOUT THE  
DAY.  
 
LIGHT WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL INCREASE TO 10-15 KNOTS  
BY SATURDAY MORNING. LOCAL GUSTS UP TO 20 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE  
WITH THE HIGHEST CONFIDENCE OF GUSTY WINDS ACROSS WESTERN  
TERMINALS. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BACK TO BECOME WEST-  
NORTHWESTERLY BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND CALM TO 5-10 KNOTS. THE  
EXCEPTION BEING THE LAKESHORE WHERE WINDS MAY REMAIN ELEVATED.  
 
OUTLOOK...NON-VFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AS LAKE EFFECT SNOW  
CONTINUES ACROSS NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA  
SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.  
 
 
   
MARINE  
 
SOUTHWEST WINDS CURRENTLY AROUND 10-20 KNOTS WILL STRENGTHEN THIS  
MORNING, SHIFTING TO WESTERLIES AND PEAKING AROUND 30 KNOTS LATE  
THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN  
EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE ERIE TO ACCOUNT FOR  
THIS. TOLEDO WATER LEVEL IS FORECAST TO DROP TO AROUND THE LOW WATER  
DATUM LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON, WHICH IS 8 INCHES  
ABOVE THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE NAVIGATION. AT THIS TIME, A LOW  
WATER ADVISORY IS NOT EXPECTED FOR THE WESTERN BASIN OF LAKE ERIE.  
 
WINDS BECOME NORTHWEST SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT AND WILL  
GENERALLY BE IN THE 15 TO 25 KNOT RANGE, THOUGH COULD APPROACH 30  
KNOTS AT TIMES LATE SUNDAY MORNING INTO EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON,  
ESPECIALLY IN THE CENTRAL BASIN WHERE WAVE HEIGHTS UP TO 6-9 FEET  
MAY BE POSSIBLE. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONTINUES THROUGH SUNDAY  
NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS.  
 
SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS AGAIN ON MONDAY AND PERSISTS THROUGH THE  
REST OF THE WEEK. WIND SPEEDS WILL OSCILLATE WITH PERIODS OF WIND  
SPEEDS IN THE 20-30 KNOT RANGE. ADDITIONAL SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES  
ARE EXPECTED. THERE IS INCREASING CHANCE OF GALE FORCE WINDS  
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.  
 
 
   
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
OH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST  
MONDAY FOR OHZ010-020>023.  
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 AM EST  
MONDAY FOR OHZ011>014-089.  
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST  
SUNDAY FOR OHZ029>031-036>038-047.  
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST  
SUNDAY FOR OHZ032-033.  
PA...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY FOR PAZ001>003.  
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY FOR LEZ142-143.  
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY FOR LEZ144>149.  
 
 
 
 
 
SYNOPSIS...JASZKA  
NEAR TERM...JASZKA  
SHORT TERM...JASZKA  
LONG TERM...JASZKA  
AVIATION...SAUNDERS  
MARINE...SAUNDERS  
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