005
FZUS81 KCLE 092252
ICELIO
GREAT LAKES ICE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO
552 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2026
ACTIVE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN
BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GREATLAKES/
5 DAY ICE DISCUSSION...
DESPITE THE RECENT MILDER WEATHER THAT HAS MOVED IN OVER THE GREAT LAKES
REGION, LAKES SUPERIOR, MICHIGAN, AND HURON STILL HAS LIMITED AND THIN ICE
IN THE FAVORED SHELTERED BAYS AND IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AT THIS TIME.
THE LATEST ICE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT GREEN BAY, SAGINAW BAY, AND THE
STRAITS OF MACKINAC IS MOSTLY ICE COVERED. THE WESTERN BASIN OF LAKE ERIE
FROM NEAR THE LAKE ERIE ISLANDS WESTWARD REMAINS SOMEWHAT ICE COVERED WITH
SOME BIGGER BREAKS DUE TO RECENT MILDER TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY WINDS THAT
HAVE HELPED IN THE DECAY OF ICE. LAKE ST CLAIR REMAINS MOSTLY FROZEN WITH
THIN ICE AT THIS TIME. FOR THE REST OF LAKE ERIE, SOME LIMITED AND
DECAYING ICE REMAINS ALONG MOST OF THE SOUTHERN SHORELINE FARTHER EAST
TOWARDS ERIE PA.
THERE WILL BE A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS AND COLD FRONTAL PASSAGES
THIS WEEKEND THROUGH NEXT WEEK THAT WILL BRING MORE PERIODS OF STRONGER
WINDS OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND A RETURN OF COLDER, MORE SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES FOR THE MIDDLE OF JANUARY. A PERIOD OF STRONGER WINDS IS
LIKELY SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS THROUGH THE
CENTRAL OR EASTERN GREAT LAKES, WITH GALES VERY POSSIBLE. GIVEN THE
GENERALLY WEAK NATURE OF THE ICE COVER ACROSS MOST OF THE LAKES AT THIS
TIME, THIS WEEKENDS LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING SHIFTING WINDS FROM DIFFERENT
DIRECTION AS THE WEATHER SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS. THE GENERAL EXPECTATION
OVER THE WEEKEND WILL BE AN INCREASE OF SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM
FOLLOWED BY A NORTHERLY OR NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE
EXITING LOW PRESSURE. THE SHIFTING FLOW OF WIND AND WEAK ICE COVERAGE WILL
LIKELY SHIFT SOME OF THE WEAKER ICE AROUND. THE GENERAL FORECAST TREND
FOR THIS WEEKEND WILL FAVOR WEATHER PATTERN THAT BRINGS MORE SEASONABLE
COLDER TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR SOME SLOW ICE GROWTH
POSSIBLE ON LAKE SUPERIOR AND NORTHERN LAKES MICHIGAN AND HURON TOWARDS
THE END OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE OVERALL FORECAST GUIDANCE
GOING INTO MOST OF NEXT WEEK FAVORS MORE COLD WEATHER WITH SOME MODIFIED
ARCTIC AIR THAT WILL TRY TO MOVE DOWN OVER MUCH OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION
BY THE MIDDLE TO END OF NEXT WEEK.
THE GREAT LAKES ICE ANALYSIS PRODUCTS CAN BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://USICECENTER.GOV/PRODUCTS/GREATLAKESHOME
AND
HTTP://WWW.GLERL.NOAA.GOV/DATA/ICE/#CURRENTCONDITIONS
MAX WIND (KNOTS) AT EACH SITE FOR THE 12 HOUR FCST PERIOD
LOCATION TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT
WEST SUPERIOR 240/14 010/23 010/22 240/22 250/17
MID SUPERIOR 170/15 040/26 030/26 260/25 270/19
EAST SUPERIOR 160/15 040/23 020/24 250/23 270/20
NORTH MICHIGAN 150/11 320/21 340/26 250/19 240/18
SOUTH MICHIGAN 170/12 290/28 310/31 310/21 230/24
NORTH HURON 120/15 100/18 330/26 320/26 240/21
MID HURON 120/11 250/18 320/28 320/26 240/21
SOUTH HURON 120/12 250/20 320/30 320/28 240/21
WEST ERIE 090/09 260/23 270/29 300/23 230/17
EAST ERIE 270/13 240/21 250/33 280/30 260/23
CENTRAL ONTARIO 280/25 150/19 260/34 280/35 280/23
A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF WIND ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GREATLAKES/
TEMPERATURE FORECASTS FOR SELECTED CITIES
LOCATION 01/10 01/11 01/12 01/13 01/14 01/15
DULUTH 19 23 14 23 19 35 28 37 15 23 12 26
MARQUETTE 24 30 21 26 21 35 26 35 21 23 12 24
GREENBAY 28 33 21 30 21 35 30 39 23 28 14 26
MILWAUKEE 32 35 21 32 24 41 33 44 28 32 19 30
CHICAGO 33 37 23 33 26 41 37 46 33 35 24 32
MUSKEGON 30 35 26 32 28 37 33 41 28 32 19 30
ALPENA 28 33 21 26 21 33 28 37 21 26 12 21
DETROIT 30 41 26 35 26 37 32 41 32 37 21 28
TOLEDO 32 42 26 33 26 37 32 44 35 39 21 28
CLEVELAND 35 46 26 32 26 37 32 44 35 39 23 30
BUFFALO 32 44 30 33 24 35 32 41 33 39 21 26
A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF THE GREAT LAKES FORECAST TEMPERATURES
CAN BE FOUND AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GREATLAKES/
FREEZING DEGREE DAY ACCUMULATIONS AT SELECTED STATIONS
COMPARED TO NORMAL CALCULATED ON FRI JAN 9:
LOCATION DATE NORMAL CURRENT
----------------------------------------
DULUTH, MN JAN 8 703 797
MARQUETTE, MI JAN 8 555 627
SAU_S_MAR, MI JAN 8 379 484
GREENBAY, WI JAN 8 334 499
MILWAUKEE, WI JAN 8 138 278
CHICAGO, IL JAN 8 106 160
MUSKEGON, MI JAN 8 63 157
ALPENA, MI JAN 8 250 348
DETROIT, MI JAN 8 86 158
TOLEDO, OH JAN 3 28 198
CLEVELAND, OH JAN 8 19 88
BUFFALO, NY JAN 8 82 169
NORMAL TEMPS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS AROUND THE
GREAT LAKES FOR FRI JAN 9
LOCATION HIGH LOW
----------------------------------------------
DULUTH,MN 18 -1
MARQUETTE,MI 22 7
GREENBAY,WI 24 7
MILWAUKEE,WI 30 17
CHICAGO,IL 30 14
MUSKEGON,MI 28 13
ALPENA,MI 26 10
DETROIT,MI 31 17
TOLEDO,OH 31 16
CLEVELAND,OH 33 19
BUFFALO,NY 31 18
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