839
FXUS61 KCLE 071849
AFDCLE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
149 PM EST SAT FEB 7 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT ACROSS NORTHEAST OHIO AND
NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA 10 PM TONIGHT THROUGH 10 AM SUNDAY. INCREASED
PRECIPITATION CHANCES ACROSS NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA THROUGH TONIGHT WHERE LOCALIZED LAKE ENHANCED
SNOWFALL CONTINUES.
KEY MESSAGES
1) REMAINING FRIGID WITH SUB-ZERO WIND CHILLS EXPECTED BOTH
SUNDAY AND MONDAY MORNING.
2) MODERATING TEMPERATURES WITH MULTIPLE SYSTEMS MOVING IN THE
VICINITY OF THE FORECAST AREA NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1
ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE, CHARACTERIZED BY 850MB TEMPERATURES AS LOW
AS -20C, REMAINS OVERHEAD. THIS WILL LEAD TO CONTINUED LIGHT
WINDS AND STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING IN AREAS WITH LIMITED CLOUD
COVER. SLIGHTLY WARMER BUT REMAINING FRIGID TONIGHT WITH
OVERNIGHT LOWS RANGING BETWEEN 0F TO -5F IN EASTERN ZONES AND AS
WARM AS 0 TO +10F IN WESTERN ZONES. WIND CHILLS TONIGHT ACROSS
EASTERN ZONES WILL FALL AS LOW AS -10 TO -20F. A COLD WEATHER
ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT ACROSS NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 10 AM SUNDAY
MORNING.
HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN 10 AND
20F WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS FALLING ANYWHERE BETWEEN +5 TO -10F. WIND
CHILLS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL AS LOW AS -10F ALONG AND EAST OF
I-77 SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING, BUT CALM WINDS SHOULD
PREVENT THE ISSUANCE OF ANY ADDITIONAL COLD HEADLINES.
KEY MESSAGE 2
THE GENERAL TREND THROUGH NEXT WEEK IS PRIMARILY DRY WEATHER
WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES. THE WARMEST DAY OF THE WEEK WILL
BE TUESDAY AS HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE INTO THE UPPER 30S TO
LOWER 40S. HIGH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY REMAIN IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 30S THE REST OF NEXT WEEK. WILL STILL NEED TO MONITOR
MAINLY FROZEN OVER RIVERS FOR ANY ICE JAM DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER,
GIVEN THE VERY BRIEF WARM PERIOD ACCOMPANIED WITH LITTLE TO NO
PRECIPITATION, NOT ANTICIPATING MANY ISSUES TO ARISE.
A NUMBER OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL CROSS IN THE VICINITY
OF THE FORECAST AREA MID-TO-LATE NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER, A
PERSISTENT RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE REGION WILL LIKELY
KEEP PRECIPITATION CHANCES OUT OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE
BULK OF NEXT WEEK. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PLACEMENT OF THE
EASTERN CONUS RIDGE AS ANY ADJUSTMENTS IN ITS LOCATION MAY ALLOW
FOR PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO CHANGE.
AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
GENERALLY EXPECT VFR ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD,
ALTHOUGH A NARROW BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS IS PRODUCING
MVFR CIGS/VSBYS. EXPECT THESE SNOW SHOWERS TO DIMINISH AS HIGH
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD INTO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THIS EVENING, ALTHOUGH LIGHT SNOW MAY BRIEFLY CLIP KERI AND
PRODUCE A PERIOD OF MVFR CONDITIONS BEFORE 00Z. WINDS WILL BE
OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS
(AND POSSIBLY BRIEF GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON) BEFORE
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT MOST LOCATIONS TONIGHT.
OUTLOOK...NON-VFR POSSIBLE IN RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY.
MARINE
LAKE ERIE REMAINS MOSTLY ICE-COVERED. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20
KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING TO
10 KNOTS OR LESS BY LATE TONIGHT AND BECOMING MORE VARIABLE ON
SUNDAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS OR LESS ARE EXPECTED ON
MONDAY WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS DEVELOPING ON
TUESDAY. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY.
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
SUNDAY FOR OHZ012>014-022-023-032-033-089.
PA...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
SUNDAY FOR PAZ001>003.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...13
AVIATION...15
MARINE...15
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