781
FZUS61 KCLE 160747
GLFLE
OPEN LAKE FORECAST FOR LAKE ERIE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
347 AM EDT MON MAR 16 2026
FOR WATERS BEYOND FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE ON LAKE ERIE
WAVES ARE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT - THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
1/3 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM. OCCASIONAL WAVE HEIGHT IS THE AVERAGE OF
THE HIGHEST 1/10 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM.
SYNOPSIS
A POTENT LOW DEEPENS TO 29.00 INCHES AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD
INTO THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES TODAY. THIS WILL ALLOW A STRONG
COLD FRONT TO SWEEP EASTWARD ACROSS LAKE ERIE THIS MORNING.
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT, A TROUGH AVERAGING 29.90 INCHES
LINGERS OVER LAKE ERIE AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD
TOWARD NORTHERN QUEBEC AND DEEPENS FURTHER TO 28.50 INCHES. ON
TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT, A RIDGE AVERAGING 30.30 INCHES
SHOULD BUILD FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST. THE RIDGE SHOULD EXIT SLOWLY
EASTWARD FROM THE REGION WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
ALLOW A WARM FRONT TO SWEEP NORTHWARD ACROSS LAKE ERIE. ON
THURSDAY, A VERY WEAK COLD FRONT SHOULD SWEEP EASTWARD ACROSS LAKE
ERIE AND BE FOLLOWED BY A RIDGE, AVERAGING 30.10 INCHES, BUILDING
FROM THE WEST. ON FRIDAY, THE RIDGE SHOULD EXIT EASTWARD AND
ALLOW ANOTHER WARM FRONT TO SWEEP NORTHWARD ACROSS LAKE ERIE.
LEZ162>164-161430-
DETROIT RIVER LT. TO MAUMEE BAY OH TO RENO BEACH OH BEYOND 5NM
OFFSHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER-
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-
CANADIAN BORDER-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-
CANADIAN BORDER-
347 AM EDT MON MAR 16 2026
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM
EDT TUESDAY...
TODAY
SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS BECOMING WEST AND INCREASING
TO 35 KNOT GALES THIS AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY. A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW EARLY THIS AFTERNOON, THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW LATE.
WAVES 3 TO 6 FEET BUILDING TO 5 TO 9 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY
AROUND 11 FEET.
TONIGHT
WEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF SNOW THROUGH THE
EARLY OVERNIGHT, THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW LATE. WAVES 5 TO
9 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND 11 FEET.
TUESDAY
WEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
WAVES 4 TO 7 FEET SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY
AROUND 9 FEET.
TUESDAY NIGHT
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHWEST
10 TO 15 KNOTS. WAVES 2 TO 4 FEET SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FEET.
WEDNESDAY
SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO
15 KNOTS. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET.
THURSDAY
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS BECOMING WEST. A CHANCE
OF RAIN DURING THE DAY. WAVES 2 FEET OR LESS.
FRIDAY
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AND
INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS. WAVES 2 FEET OR LESS BUILDING TO
2 TO 4 FEET.
LEZ165>167-161430-
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-
CANADIAN BORDER-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-
CANADIAN BORDER-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER-
347 AM EDT MON MAR 16 2026
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...
TODAY
SOUTH WINDS TO 30 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND
INCREASING TO 35 KNOT GALES THIS AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF RAIN THIS
MORNING, THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF SNOW LATE. WAVES 5 TO 8 FEET BUILDING TO
10 TO 13 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND 16 FEET.
TONIGHT
WEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF SNOW. WAVES 10 TO
14 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND 18 FEET.
TUESDAY
WEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
A CHANCE OF SNOW. WAVES 9 TO 12 FEET SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FEET.
WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND 15 FEET.
TUESDAY NIGHT
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS DIMINISHING TO 10 TO
15 KNOTS. WAVES 3 TO 5 FEET SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET.
WEDNESDAY
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO
15 KNOTS. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET.
THURSDAY
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING WEST. A CHANCE OF
RAIN DURING THE DAY. WAVES 2 TO 4 FEET SUBSIDING TO 2 FEET OR
LESS.
FRIDAY
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 15 TO
20 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF RAIN FRIDAY NIGHT. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET
BUILDING TO 3 TO 6 FEET.
LEZ168-161430-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-
CANADIAN BORDER-
347 AM EDT MON MAR 16 2026
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...
TODAY
SOUTH WINDS TO 30 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHWEST. A CHANCE OF
RAIN THIS MORNING, THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF SNOW LATE. WAVES 4 TO 7 FEET BUILDING
TO 10 TO 13 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND 16 FEET.
TONIGHT
WEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS INCREASING TO 35 KNOT GALES
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW LIKELY THROUGH THE EARLY OVERNIGHT, THEN A
CHANCE OF SNOW LATE. WAVES 10 TO 14 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY
AROUND 18 FEET.
TUESDAY
WEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
A CHANCE OF SNOW. WAVES 9 TO 12 FEET SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FEET.
WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND 15 FEET.
TUESDAY NIGHT
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF SNOW.
WAVES 3 TO 5 FEET SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 3 FEET.
WEDNESDAY
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTH. WAVES
1 TO 3 FEET.
THURSDAY
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS BECOMING WEST. A CHANCE OF
RAIN DURING THE DAY. WAVES 2 FEET OR LESS.
FRIDAY
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING EAST. A CHANCE OF
RAIN AND SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT. WAVES 1 TO 2 FEET BUILDING TO 3 TO
5 FEET.
LEZ061-169-161430-
RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY EXTENDING FROM 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-
CANADIAN BORDER-
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-
CANADIAN BORDER-
347 AM EDT MON MAR 16 2026
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...
TODAY
SOUTH WINDS TO 30 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHWEST. A CHANCE OF
RAIN THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN
LATE. WAVES IN ICE FREE AREAS 5 TO 8 FEET BUILDING TO 10 TO
14 FEET. WAVES IN ICE FREE AREAS OCCASIONALLY AROUND 18 FEET.
TONIGHT
WEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS INCREASING TO 40 KNOTS. SNOW
LIKELY THROUGH THE EARLY OVERNIGHT, THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW LATE.
WAVES 10 TO 15 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND 19 FEET.
TUESDAY
WEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS.
A CHANCE OF SNOW. WAVES 10 TO 13 FEET SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FEET.
WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND 16 FEET.
TUESDAY NIGHT
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS DIMINISHING TO 5 TO
15 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF SNOW. WAVES 3 TO 5 FEET SUBSIDING TO 1 TO
3 FEET.
WEDNESDAY
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTH. WAVES
1 TO 3 FEET.
THURSDAY
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHWEST. A
CHANCE OF RAIN DURING THE DAY. WAVES 2 FEET OR LESS.
FRIDAY
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHEAST. A CHANCE
OF RAIN FRIDAY NIGHT. WAVES 2 FEET OR LESS BUILDING TO 2 TO
4 FEET.
WAVE HEIGHTS ARE FOR ICE FREE AREAS.
LEZ161-161430-
MAFOR 1609/
ERIE WEST 1/3...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT...11440 11540 12550 11640
13650. A CHANCE OF RAIN THIS MORNING. A CHANCE OF SNOW THIS
AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF SNOW TONIGHT. WAVES 5 TO 8 FEET BUILDING
TO 7 TO 11 FEET, AND OCCASIONALLY AROUND 14 FEET TODAY. WAVES 8
TO 12 FEET, AND OCCASIONALLY AROUND 15 FEET TONIGHT.
ERIE CENTRAL 1/3...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT...11446 11540 12550
14650. A CHANCE OF SNOW THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. WAVES 5 TO 8
FEET BUILDING TO 10 TO 13 FEET, AND OCCASIONALLY AROUND 16 FEET
TODAY. WAVES 10 TO 14 FEET, AND OCCASIONALLY AROUND 18 FEET
TONIGHT.
ERIE EAST 1/3...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT...12440 11546 11540 11640
12657 11650. WAVES 5 TO 8 FEET BUILDING TO 10 TO 14 FEET, AND
OCCASIONALLY AROUND 18 FEET TODAY. WAVES 10 TO 15 FEET, AND
OCCASIONALLY AROUND 19 FEET TONIGHT. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE FOR ICE
FREE AREAS.
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