200  
FZUS61 KCLE 170131  
GLFLE  
 
OPEN LAKE FORECAST FOR LAKE ERIE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH  
931 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2026  
 
FOR WATERS BEYOND FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE ON LAKE ERIE  
 
WAVES ARE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT - THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST  
1/3 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM. OCCASIONAL WAVE HEIGHT IS THE AVERAGE OF  
THE HIGHEST 1/10 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM.  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
 
A TROUGH AVERAGING 29.90 INCHES LINGERS OVER LAKE ERIE TONIGHT. ON  
TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT, A RIDGE AVERAGING 30.30 INCHES BUILDS  
FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST. THE RIDGE BEGINS TO EXIT SLOWLY EASTWARD  
FROM THE REGION WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND ALLOWS A  
WARM FRONT TO SWEEP NORTHWARD ACROSS LAKE ERIE. DURING THURSDAY  
THROUGH SATURDAY, THE RIDGE SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXIT, ALBEIT  
GENERALLY SOUTHEASTWARD, AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE  
NORTHWEST. BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, THE FRONT SHOULD WAVER IN  
VICINITY OF LAKE ERIE IN RESPONSE TO WEAK FRONTAL LOWS, AVERAGING  
29.70 INCHES, AND MOVING GENERALLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN  
GREAT LAKES REGION.  
 
LEZ162>164-170830-  
DETROIT RIVER LT. TO MAUMEE BAY OH TO RENO BEACH OH BEYOND 5NM  
OFFSHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER-  
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-  
CANADIAN BORDER-  
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-  
CANADIAN BORDER-  
931 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2026  
   
..GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY
 
   
..LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY
 
 
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
WEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF SNOW  
SHOWERS LATE THIS EVENING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE.  
WAVES 6 TO 10 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND 13 FEET.    
TUESDAY
 
WEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS.  
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS EARLY, THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW  
SHOWERS FROM LATE MORNING ON. WAVES 4 TO 7 FEET SUBSIDING TO 1 TO  
3 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND 9 FEET.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHWEST  
10 TO 15 KNOTS. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHWEST.  
WAVES 1 TO 2 FEET.    
THURSDAY
 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS BECOMING WEST. A CHANCE  
OF RAIN DURING THE DAY. WAVES 2 FEET OR LESS.    
FRIDAY
 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING NORTH 15 TO  
20 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF RAIN DURING THE DAY. WAVES 1 FOOT OR LESS  
BUILDING TO 1 TO 3 FEET.    
SATURDAY
 
EAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING WEST. WAVES 2 TO  
4 FEET SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FEET.  
 

 
 
LEZ165>167-170830-  
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-  
CANADIAN BORDER-  
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-  
CANADIAN BORDER-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-  
LAKE OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER-  
931 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2026  
   
..GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY
 
 
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
WEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS INCREASING TO 40 KNOTS.  
A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS, THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS  
LATE. WAVES 10 TO 14 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND 18 FEET.    
TUESDAY
 
WEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS.  
A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. WAVES 10 TO 13 FEET SUBSIDING TO 3 TO  
5 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND 16 FEET.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHWEST  
10 TO 15 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. WAVES 3 TO 5 FEET  
SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTH 15 TO  
20 KNOTS. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHWEST.  
WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET.    
THURSDAY
 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF RAIN  
DURING THE DAY. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET SUBSIDING TO 1 FOOT OR LESS.    
FRIDAY
 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING NORTH 15 TO  
20 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF RAIN. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET BUILDING TO 2 TO  
4 FEET.    
SATURDAY
 
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS BECOMING WEST. WAVES  
2 TO 4 FEET BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET.  
 

 
 
LEZ061-168-169-170830-  
RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY EXTENDING FROM 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-  
CANADIAN BORDER-GENEVA-ON-THE-  
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-  
CANADIAN BORDER-  
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-  
CANADIAN BORDER-  
931 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2026  
   
..GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY
 
 
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
WEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS INCREASING TO 40 KNOTS.  
SNOW SHOWERS LATE THIS EVENING, THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS  
AFTER MIDNIGHT. WAVES 11 TO 16 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND  
20 FEET.    
TUESDAY
 
WEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS DIMINISHING TO 30 KNOTS. A  
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. WAVES 11 TO 15 FEET SUBSIDING TO 5 TO  
8 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND 19 FEET.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS DIMINISHING TO 10 TO  
15 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. WAVES 3 TO 6 FEET SUBSIDING  
TO 2 TO 4 FEET.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTH. A  
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS. WAVES 2 FEET OR  
LESS.    
THURSDAY
 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. WAVES 2 FEET OR LESS.    
FRIDAY
 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING NORTH. A CHANCE  
OF RAIN AND SNOW DURING THE DAY, THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN FRIDAY  
NIGHT. WAVES 2 FEET OR LESS.    
SATURDAY
 
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING WEST 15 TO  
20 KNOTS. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET.  
 

 
 
LEZ161-170830-  
MAFOR 1703/  
ERIE WEST 1/3...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT...12650 12640 14620. A  
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE THIS EVENING AND TUESDAY. WAVES 9 TO  
12 FEET, AND OCCASIONALLY AROUND 15 FEET OVERNIGHT. WAVES 7 TO 10  
FEET SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET, AND OCCASIONALLY AROUND 13 FEET  
TUESDAY. WAVES 2 TO 4 FEET TUESDAY EVENING.  
 
ERIE CENTRAL 1/3...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT...13650 11640 11630  
13620. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. WAVES 10 TO 15 FEET, AND  
OCCASIONALLY AROUND 19 FEET OVERNIGHT. WAVES 10 TO 13 FEET  
SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 6 FEET, AND OCCASIONALLY AROUND 16 FEET  
TUESDAY. WAVES 3 TO 5 FEET TUESDAY EVENING.  
 
ERIE EAST 1/3...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT...13650 11640 12630 11620  
11610. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT, TUESDAY MORNING, AND  
TUESDAY EVENING. WAVES 11 TO 16 FEET, AND OCCASIONALLY AROUND 20  
FEET OVERNIGHT. WAVES 11 TO 15 FEET SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FEET, AND  
OCCASIONALLY AROUND 19 FEET TUESDAY. WAVES 3 TO 6 FEET SUBSIDING  
TO 2 TO 4 FEET TUESDAY EVENING. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE FOR ICE FREE  
AREAS.  
 

 
 
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