288
FXUS61 KCLE 251801
AFDCLE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
201 PM EDT MON MAY 25 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
A DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS BETWEEN THE I-71
AND I-77 CORRIDORS THROUGH 9AM THIS MORNING. PATCHY FOG IS
LIKELY ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE ARE AS WELL.
KEY MESSAGES
1) DENSE FOG IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN OHIO WITH PATCHY FOG LIKELY ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA.
2) HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION AND DRY WEATHER AND
WARMING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE
WEEK WITH A LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON WEDNESDAY.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
DENSE FOG AS BEGUN TO DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN OHIO
EARLY THIS MORNING AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH AROUND 9AM.
VISIBILITIES ARE SEEN DROPPING DOWN TO A QUARTER MILE OR LESS IN
PLACES WITH DENSE FOG CREATING HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.
ELSEWHERE THROUGHOUT THE AREA, FOG HAS BEEN LESS WIDESPREAD
THOUGH THERE ARE AREAS OF PATCHY, DENSE FOG. MAY NEED AN
EXPANSION OF THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN THE COMING HOURS IF THOSE
LOCATIONS BEGIN TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD. FOG SHOULD DISSIPATE
THIS MORNING AS TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO RISE.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD INTO REGION STARTING ON
MONDAY AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. DRY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED AND TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE UPPER
70S TO LOW 80S BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ON WEDNESDAY, A WEAK
TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THAT MAY PROVIDE
ENOUGH SUPPORT FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
CURRENTLY POPS ARE FAIRLY LOW, WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCE SOUTH OF
THE US 30 CORRIDOR WITH A ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM TO THE NORTH
POSSIBLE AS WELL.
BEHIND THE TROUGH, A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL DRIFT SOUTH-
SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE REGION AND TEMPERATURES WILL DROP DOWN
NEAR SEASONALLY AVERAGE, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO LOW 70S, FOR
THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE
REGION FROM THE NORTH ON THURSDAY BRINGING DRY WEATHER TO END
THE WEEK. GLOBAL MODELS SHOW AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPING
OVER EASTERN CANADA AND MOVING SOUTH THIS WEEKEND. CURRENTLY
PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE LOW, BUT A COOLER AIR MASS MOVING INTO
THE REGION IS POSSIBLE. THOUGH, THERE IS PLENTY OF SPREAD AMONG
MODELS IN REGARDS TO HIGH TEMPERATURES, SO CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON
HOW COOL IT WILL BE.
AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
VERY STUBBORN FOG IS FINALLY BURNING OFF, AND THIS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MID AFTERNOON ALLOWING FOR MOSTLY SUNNY AND VFR
CONDITIONS. THE FOG WILL LIKELY HOLD ON THE LONGEST AT KERI. VFR
IS THEN EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT, BUT CONFIDENCE IS
INCREASING THAT ALL TERMINALS WILL ONCE AGAIN EXPERIENCE DENSE
FOG LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. TIMING OF THE MOST
IMPACTFUL FOG COULD SHIFT FORWARD OR BACKWARD AN HOUR OR TWO,
BUT GENERALLY EXPECT THE WORST CONDITIONS IN THE 08-12Z
TIMEFRAME WHEN IFR AND LIFR WILL DOMINATE BEFORE GRADUALLY
IMPROVING THROUGH THE MORNING.
NE WINDS OF 5-10 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME LIGHT AND
VARIABLE LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE TURNING
GENERALLY E TO NE AGAIN TUESDAY.
OUTLOOK...NON-VFR POSSIBLE WITH RAIN SHOWERS IN CENTRAL OHIO ON
WEDNESDAY.
MARINE
QUIET CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON LAKE ERIE THROUGH THE START OF
THE WEEKEND AS PRESSURE GRADIENTS REMAIN WEAK AND A LARGE DOME
OF HIGH PRESSURE OVERALL CONTROLS THE GREAT LAKES. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT NIGHT, TURNING GENERALLY N TO NE
AT 5-10 KNOTS DURING THE DAYS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. STRONGER N
TO NE WINDS OF 5-15 KNOTS ARE THEN EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY BEFORE TURNING LIGHT AND VARIABLE FRIDAY THEN BACK TO N
TO NE SATURDAY.
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...23
AVIATION...GARUCKAS
MARINE...GARUCKAS
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