554  
FXUS61 KCLE 260434  
AFDCLE  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH  
1234 AM EDT TUE MAY 26 2026  
   
WHAT HAS CHANGED
 
 
FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK WITH NO MAJOR CHANGES MADE.  
 

 
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
1) HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION AND DRY WEATHER AND WARMING  
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE WEEK WITH A  
LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON WEDNESDAY.  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
KEY MESSAGE 1...  
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION THROUGH  
TUESDAY NIGHT. CAN'T RULE OUT SOME ADDITIONAL PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING  
ALONG THE LAKE ERIE LAKESHORE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT, THOUGH NOT  
EXPECTING THE FOG TO BE AS DENSE OR WIDESPREAD AS IT WAS EARLIER  
THIS MORNING.  
 
AS WE REMAIN IN THE CONTROL OF THE HIGH, EXPECT FOR TEMPERATURES TO  
WARM INTO THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S FOR HIGHS EACH AFTERNOON WITH  
OVERNIGHT LOWS SETTLING IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. DRY WEATHER  
IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING BEFORE AN UPPER TROUGH  
LIFTS ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY. EXPECT FOR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM  
CHANCES TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. THE BULK OF  
THE PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF  
THE FORECAST AREA, MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF US-30.  
 
A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA  
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE RETURNING ON  
THURSDAY. SLIGHTLY COOLER, BUT REMAINING DRY, BEHIND THE COLD FRONT  
WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S THURSDAY INTO THE  
WEEKEND.  
 

 
   
AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
 
 
CONDITIONS ARE STARTING OFF MOSTLY VFR THIS LATE EVENING WITH  
THE EXCEPTION OF AREAS RIGHT ALONG THE LAKESHORE. THERE ARE MVFR  
TO IFR VISIBILITIES AND LOW CEILINGS FROM A MARINE LAYER NEAR  
THE LAKESHORE. MOST TAF SITES WILL SEE THE REDEVELOPMENT OF  
IFR/LIFR FOG THROUGH SUNRISE THIS MORNING. THE EARLY MORNING FOG  
AND LOW STRATUS CEILINGS WILL BURN OFF QUICKLY AFTER 13Z THIS  
MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH  
THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE SOMEWHAT LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE DURING THIS TAF PERIOD.  
 
OUTLOOK...NON-VFR POSSIBLE WITH RAIN SHOWERS IN CENTRAL OHIO ON  
WEDNESDAY.  
 

 
   
MARINE
 
 
OVERALL MARINE WEATHER WILL BE FAIRLY QUIET ON LAKE ERIE THIS  
WEEK. THER ARE SOME AREAS OF DENSE FOG ON THE CENTRAL AND  
EASTERN NEARSHORE WATERS OF THE LAKE THIS MORNING. THIS MARINE  
LAYER FOG SHOULD BURN OFF QUICKLY AFTER SUNRISE THIS MORNING. A  
WEAK AREA OF PRESSURE IS OVER LAKE ERIE TODAY. WINDS WILL BE  
NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY 5 TO 10 KNOTS TODAY THROUGH  
WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE LAKE LATE  
WEDNESDAY. SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST  
5-15 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. WINDS WILL  
BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE AGAIN BY FRIDAY. WAVES WILL GENERALLY  
BE 1 TO 2 FEET OR LESS THIS WEEK.  
 

 
   
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
OH...NONE.  
PA...NONE.  
MARINE...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR LEZ146>149-  
166>169.  
 

 
 

 
 
DISCUSSION...13  
AVIATION...77  
MARINE...77  
 
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